The Black Swan

The Impact of the Highly Improbable

By: Nassim Nicholas Taleb

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Paperback | 7 July 2011 | Edition Number 1

At a Glance

Paperback
480 Pages

Dimensions(cm)
2.5 x 12.9 x 19.8

Paperback

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Product Description

The phenomenal international bestseller that shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty

What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper?

This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they''re impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them.

''Taleb is a bouncy and even exhilarating guide ... I came to relish what he said, and even develop a sneaking affection for him as a person'' Will Self, Independent on Sunday

''He leaps like some superhero of the mind'' Boyd Tonkin, Independent

Industry Reviews

A fascinating study of how we are regularly taken for suckers by the unexpected * Guardian *
Like the conversation of a raconteur ... hugely enjoyable - compelling * Financial Times *
It has altered modern thinking * The Times *
Confirms his status as a guru for every would-be Damien Hirst, George Soros and aspirant despot * Sunday Times *
The Black Swan changed my view of how the world works -- Daniel Kahneman, author of Thinking, Fast and Slow
Great fun... brash, stubborn, entertaining, opinionated, curious, cajoling -- Stephen J. Dubner, co-author of Freakonomics
The most prophetic voice of all * GQ *

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