Predicting Storm Surges: Chaos, Computational Intelligence, Data Assimilation and Ensembles

Name: Predicting Storm Surges: Chaos, Computational Intelligence, Data Assimilation and Ensembles
Brand: Taylor & Francis Ltd
Price: 97.75 AUD
Availability: BackOrder

UNESCO-IHE PhD Thesis

By: Michael Siek

Write A Review

Hardcover | 29 September 2017 | Edition Number 1

At a Glance

Hardcover
200 Pages

Dimensions(cm)
24.6 x 17.4

Hardcover

RRP $112.00

$97.75

13%OFF

or 4 interest-free payments of $24.44 with

Available for Backorder. We will order this from our supplier however there isn't a current ETA.

Accurate predictions of storm surge are of importance in many coastal areas in the world to avoid and mitigate its destructive impacts. For this purpose the physically-based (process) numerical models are typically utilized. However, in data-rich cases, one may use data-driven methods aiming at reconstructing the internal patterns of the modelled processes and relationships between the observed descriptive variables. This book focuses on data-driven modelling using methods of nonlinear dynamics and chaos theory. First, some fundamentals of physical oceanography, nonlinear dynamics and chaos, computational intelligence and European operational storm surge models are covered. After that a number of improvements in building chaotic models are presented: nonlinear time series analysis, multi-step prediction, phase space dimensionality reduction, techniques dealing with incomplete time series, phase error correction, finding true neighbours, optimization of chaotic model, data assimilation and multi-model ensemble prediction. The major case study is surge prediction in the North Sea, with some tests on a Caribbean Sea case. The modelling results showed that the enhanced predictive chaotic models can serve as an efficient tool for accurate and reliable short and mid-term predictions of storm surges in order to support decision-makers for flood prediction and ship navigation.

Shipping

	Standard Shipping	Express Shipping
Metro postcodes:	$9.99	$14.95
Regional postcodes:	$9.99	$14.95
Rural postcodes:	$9.99	$14.95

Orders over $49.00 qualify for free shipping.

How to return your order

At Booktopia, we offer hassle-free returns in accordance with our returns policy. If you wish to return an item, please get in touch with Booktopia Customer Care.

Additional postage charges may be applicable.