Fatal Grievances

Preface

Chapter 1. Introduction And Orientation to Active Killer Threat Assessment

• Scope of this book

• A paradigm shift from active shooters to active killers

• A change in mindset from being reactive to proactive

• Assessment versus analysis

• Threat intelligence collection and assessment

• The problem with "profiling" active killers

• The importance of operationalizing definitions

Chapter 2. Active Killer Characteristics: Myths Vs. Statistics

• Myth 1: active killers are everywhere

• Myth 2: active killers are only a problem in the United States

• Myth 3: disgruntled students and employees are the only threat to safety

• Myth 4: the attacker just "snapped"

• Myth 5: demographics can identify an active killer

Chapter 3. Direct Behaviors of Planned Lethal Violence

• Active killer motivations

• Grievance as a precursor of lethal violence

• Grievance and the crisis state

• The fatal grievance pathway

• Planned lethal violence

• Direct behaviors and stages of planned lethal violence

• Direct behavioral clusters of planned lethal violence

• The planned lethal violence stairway model

Chapter 4. Indirect Behavioral Indicators of Planned Lethal Violence And Situational Distressors

• Indirect behaviors

• Primary indirect behavioral indicators

• Secondary indirect behavioral indicators

• Stress and violence

• Situational distress

• Situational distressors

Chapter 5. Threat Management and Resolution: Identifying The Threat

• The necessity of structure in active killer threat assessment

• Forensic investigation and behavioral analytical methods

• Contextual factors

• Factors of social desirability

• The role of social fabric in threat assessment

• Detecting behavioral indicators of planned lethal violence

• Baselines and anomalies

• Establishing baselines and identifying anomalies

• Bias and error considerations in detecting concerning behavior

Chapter 6. Threat Management and Resolution: Assessing The Threat

• The problem with relying on "pre-attack behaviors" in threat assessment

• Understanding significancy and frequency of anomalies
• Prediction and threat assessment

• Forecasting in threat assessment

• Qualitative and quantitative forecasting

• Predictive analytics and modeling

• Predictive behavioral threat forecasting

• Methodology

• Qualitative adjustments to threat confidence levels

• Completing the threat assessment

• Bias errors in assessing a threat

Chapter 7. Threat Management and Resolution: Engaging The Threat

• Conflict management vs. conflict resolution

• Monitoring

• Third-party intervention

• Direct interventions

• Engagements based on threat level

Chapter 8. Limitations And Conclusion

• Summary of key takeaways

• Limitations

Appendix A

Appendix B

Appendix C

Index

References