
Disease X
The 100 Days Mission to End Pandemics
By: Kate Kelland, Tony Blair (Foreword by)
Paperback | 15 February 2024
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204 Pages
23.39 x 15.6 x 1.4
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"Engaging, accessible and ultimately optimistic account" - BBC Medical Editor Fergus Walsh
"DISEASE X sets out a game-changing plan for how the world can learn from Covid-19 and be ready for the next pandemic." - Tony Blair, former British Prime Minister
DISEASE X is a fast-paced, almost real-time account of how international scientists and global public health leaders are preparing the world to be able to contain outbreaks of new and re-emerging infectious diseases before they spawn deadly global contagions like Covid-19.
Disease X is the codename given by the World Health Organisation to a pathogen currently unknown to science that could cause havoc to humankind. Emerging infections are sending us multiple warnings that another Disease X is looming.
These events are not freak events, but are happening continually, and at an increasing cadence: SARS in 2002, H5N1 bird flu in 2004, H1N1 'swine flu' in 2009, MERS in 2012, Ebola in 2014, Zika in 2015 and Covid-19.
Written by a long-standing ex-Reuters global health and science correspondent, DISEASE X uses privileged access to the body leading international efforts to control viral outbreaks, the Coalition for Epidemic Preparedness Innovations (CEPI), and its CEO, Dr Richard Hatchett. CEPI seed-funded three successful COVID vaccines, including the AstraZeneca and Moderna shots.
Weaving in insights from the likes of Bill Gates, Erna Solberg, Jeremy Farrar and Seth Berkley, the book explores the emergence of the novel coronavirus and the deadly crisis it caused. It analyses the responses of global health organisations and experts, including the WHO; national governments in Britain, China and the USA; COVAX, the global vaccine allocation facility; pharmaceutical companies; and leading research scientists.
Ultimately, DISEASE X tells how, throughout the devastation of Covid, science and human ingenuity have shown that the world can devise intricate new weapons at a breathtaking pace against new deadly diseases.
It tells how the world's public health scientists are embarking on a 100 Days Mission to embed that scientific progress into a pandemic-busting plan to defuse future threats from as-yet-unknown pathogens in a little over three months. This is the 100 Days Mission - backed by the G7 and G20 - that will see a newly prepared world, one that can move at speed to snuff out future threats before they become deadly pandemics.
With a foreword by former British Prime Minister Tony Blair.
Reviews
"DISEASE X sets out how a mystery pathogen of the future could be contained before it goes global, but only if lessons are learned from SARS-CoV-2 and other global disease threats. An engaging, accessible and ultimately optimistic account of how nations, institutions and the scientific community responded to Covid and how they could work together in future." - Fergus Walsh, BBC Medical Editor
"As Kelland argues cogently, fear of the next outbreak should not paralyse us but instead galvanise us into making sure the terrible toll of Covid-19 is not repeated. DISEASE X is a valuable policy roadmap in a world custom-built for pandemics." - Anjana Ahuja, co-author of Spike: The Virus Vs The People
"With access to key players on the frontlines, DISEASE X takes us inside the effort to prevent future outbreaks from exploding into global disasters... this important book outlines why it will be vital to keep pandemic threats at the top of our priority list for decades to come." - James Paton, former Health Correspondent for Bloomberg News
Industry Reviews
"Covid-19 will not be the last pandemic to cause havoc. Disease X sets out how a mystery pathogen of the future could be contained before it goes global, but only if lessons are learned from SARS-CoV-2 and other global disease threats.
"An engaging, accessible and ultimately optimistic account of how nations, institutions and the scientific community responded to Covid, and how they could work together in future." - Fergus Walsh, BBC Medical Editor
"As Kelland argues cogently, fear of the next outbreak should not paralyse us but instead galvanise us into making sure the terrible toll of Covid-19 is not repeated.
"Just as we do not wait for a formal declaration of war before building up military capabilities, we must be prepared to invest in rapid surveillance, financing, vaccines, treatments and manufacturing capacity ahead of time.
"Disease X is a valuable policy roadmap in a world custom-built for pandemics." - Anjana Ahuja, co-author with Jeremy Farrar of Spike: The Virus Vs The People
"Disease X delivers a sobering message. It also offers hope that when the next deadly virus with pandemic potential emerges - not if - the world will be much better equipped to respond.
"With access to key players on the frontlines, Disease X takes us inside the effort to prevent future outbreaks from exploding into global disasters. People remember wars. They forget about pandemics.
"Three years after the Covid crisis erupted, we're desperate to move on. But this important book outlines why it will be vital to keep pandemic threats at the top of our priority list for decades to come." - James Paton, former Health Correspondent for Bloomberg News
Foreword by Sir Tony Blair. The former British Prime Minister warns that nations should not forget the risk of pandemics following the recovery from Covid-19
Introduction: Meet Disease X. Disease X is the World Health Organization's term for the next potential big pandemic. Previous examples include Ebola, Zika and SARS. The world has a '100 Days Mission' to combat the next Disease X
1. Prepare to be Scared. Pandemics are increasing in frequency and seriousness. Novel viruses can spread in unusual ways and their growth can be exponential.
2. Prepare to Move Fast. The increasing arrival of new communicable diseases such as SARS, MERS and Zika (not to mention Covid-19) means that the world's countries must be ready to act quickly: 'Making quick, decisive moves in the early stage of a rapidly spreading disease outbreak is a prerequisite for getting ahead of a potential pandemic.
3. Prepare to Take Risks. The necessity of pump priming the development of vaccines by pharmaceutical companies to maximise the chances of effective preventative medicine. Sometimes this money will be wasted; often it will halt the exponential spread of a virus that could wreak devastation on human populations.
4. Prepare to Share. Covid-19 showed that international cooperation is essential to thwart the growth of diseases. Public health leaders such as CEPI's Richard Hatchett devised an internationally fair system for sharing vaccines, COVAX.
5. Prepare to Listen. Governments should listen to health experts who are familiar with the spread of infectious diseases. Unfortunately, Britain's Prime Minister during Covid-19, Boris Johnson, did not listen - or, at least, did not act quickly enough.
6. Prepare to Fail. Many vaccine trials will fail. The search for a vaccine for HIV has, for instance, repeatedly failed. However, the attempts to develop a vaccine for HIV have led to breakthroughs in the development of vaccines for other diseases. Scientific advancement is not linear and requires patience.
7. Prepare to Spend Money. Pandemics cost trillions of dollars. Preventing them through the timely development of vaccines and other preventative measures costs much less. If the world spent a fraction of the money it spends on the military annually (almost $2 trillion in 2020) on public health instead, the world's population would benefit tangibly and manifestly.
8. Prepare for the Next One... Because it's coming.
9. 2027: A Pandemic is Thwarted. Imagining how the 100 Days Mission could work in the future, by assessing an outbreak of a pandemic in Asia in the future
Postscript
Resources and Further Reading
Acknowledgements
End Notes
Index
ISBN: 9781912454976
ISBN-10: 1912454971
Published: 15th February 2024
Format: Paperback
Language: English
Number of Pages: 204
Audience: General Adult
Publisher: Canbury Press LTD
Dimensions (cm): 23.39 x 15.6 x 1.4
Weight (kg): 0.3
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