Advancing Peace Research

Part 1: Who is this Fellow? 1. The Making of a Peace Researcher Part 2: Earlier Evaluations of National Security Policy 2. The Strategic Dilemma: Probability vs. Disutility 3. Stable Deterrence and its Limits Part 3: Public Dove and Policy Wonk 4. Control and Reduction of Armaments: Hearing before a Subcommittee of the Committee on Foreign Relations, United States Senate 5. Deterrence and Shelters 6. Inter-Nation Influence: A Formal Model Part 4: Querulous and Suggestive Interventions 7. The Incompleat Theorist: Insight without Evidence 8. Escalation and Control in International Conflict: A Simple Feedback Model 9. The Peace Researcher and Foreign Policy Prediction Part 5: Conceptual and Methodological Inspirations 10. The Historical Experiment as a Research Strategy in the Study of World Politics 11.Variables, Indicators, and Data: The Measurement Problem in Macro-Political Research Part 6: From Conventional Concepts to Operational Indicators 12. The Correlates of War Project: Continuity, Diversity and Convergence 13. Reconstructing the Cow Dataset on Material Capabilities, 1816-1985 14. Measuring the Concentration of Power in the International System 15. Militarized Interstate Disputes, 1816-1992: Rationale, Coding Rules, and Empirical Patterns Part 7: Scientific Research Payoffs 16. Capability Distribution, Uncertainty and Major Power War, 1820-1965 17. Foreign Policy Indicators: Predictors of War in History and in the State of the World Message 18. Peace in the Gglobal System: Displacement, Interregnum, or Transformation? Part 8: Sermons for the Next Generation 19. Nuclear Confrontation: Ambivalence, Rationality, and the Doomsday Machine 20. Inter-State, Intra-State, and Extra-State Wars: A Comprehensive Look at Their Distribution Overtime, 1816-1997 21. "New Wars" and Rumors of "New Wars" 22. The Responsibilities of Competence in the Global Village. Appendix: Curriculum Vitae of J. David Singer