Understanding Complex Systems

Preface.- PART ONE: INTRODUCTION TO DECISION MAKING IN COMPELX, DYNAMIC TASKS.- 1. Dynamic Decision Making and Learning: An Introduction.- 1.0 Introduction.- 1.1 Dynamic Decision Making and Interactive Learning Environments.- 1.2 Human Facilitated and Learning.- 1.3 Unique Approach of This Book.- 1.4 Critical Research Questions Explored.- 1.5 Organization of the Book.- PART TWO: DEVELOPMENT OF A PROCESS MODEL FOR BETETR DECISION MAKING.- 2. Empirical Evidence on Dynamic Decision Making and ILEs.- 2.0 Introduction.- 2.1 Important Background Concepts.- 2.2 A Framework for Experimental Review.- 2.3 Characteristics of Existing Research on DDM and Learning in ILEs.- 2.4 On the Influence of Learner Factors.- 2.5 Evidence on Dynamic Task Factors.- 2.6 Studies on Decision-Making-Environment Factors.- 2.7 Role of Human Facilitation.- 2.8 Summary of Empirical Evidence on DDM and ILEs.- 3. Towards a Road to Success: The Development of the Integrated Process Model.- 3.0 Introduction.- 3.1 The Process Model for Better Decision Making.- 3.2. Human Facilitation and Cognitive Apprenticeship Approach.- 3.3. Summary of the Integrated Process Model Development Activities.- 4. Seeking the Truth: Human-Facilitated ILEs and Hypotheses Development.- 4.0 Introduction.- 4.1 An Account of our Research Approach.- 4.2 Improving Decision Making with Human Facilitation.- 4.3 Main Hypotheses on the Effectiveness of Human-Facilitated ILEs.- 4.5 Summary of Hypotheses Development Activities.- PART THREE: SETTING THE STAGE FOR DECION MAKING AND LEARNING.- 5. Overexploitation of Renewables Abound: Modeling Fisheries Management.- 5.0 Introduction.- 5.1 The Dynamic Decision Task: Fisheries Management.- 5.2 Why to Use System Dynamics Modeling in the Development of ILEs?.- 5.3 The System Dynamics Simulation Model of Fisheries Management Task.- 5.4. Summary of the Development of the System Dynamics Simulation Model.- 6. How to Develop the Managerial Practice Field, FishBakILE? HCI Design and Learning Principles in Service of DDM.- 6.0 Introduction.- 6.1 HCI Design and Learning Principles in the Development of FishBankILE.- 6.2. The Developed Simulated Decision Environment.- 6.3. Development of Transfer Learning Task.- 6.4 Summary of HCI Design and Learning Principles-based FishBankILE.- 7. On the Mechanics of Laboratory Experiments: The Experimental Design and Procedures.- 7.0 Introduction.- 7.1 Why to Use the Laboratory-based Experimental Approach?.- 7.2 What Gets Measured Gets Done: Measuring Performance in.- 7.3 The Experimental Treatment Procedures.- 7.4 Human Facilitation Manipulations.- 7.5 Who are the Decision Makers?.- 7.6 On the Role of a Facilitator for FishBankILE.- 7.7 Summary of the Mechanics of Laboratory Experiments.- PART FOUR: ON BETTER DECIONS MAKING IN DYNAMIC TASKS.- 8. Improving Performance in Fisheries Management Task.- 8.0 Introduction.- 8.1. Developing Transfer Learning Skills.- 8.2. Improving Task Performance.- 8.3. Adapting Better Decision Strategy.- 8.4. Building Task Knowledge.- 8.5. Effects of Prior Task Knowledge and Demographics.- 8.6. Summary of Decision Making and Learning in Fisheries Management Task.- 9. Developing Transfer Learning Skills: The 1-Layer Process Model.- 9.1 Introduction.- 9.1 Effects of Task Knowledge and Task Performance on Transfer Learning.- 9.2 How Did They Develop Transfer Learning Skills?.- 9.3 A Summary on the Validation of the 1-Layer Process Model.- 10. Decision Strategy and Performance in Dynamic Tasks: The 2-Layer Process Model.- 10.0 Introduction.- 10.1 Direct Effects of Decision Strategy on Transfer Learning.- 10.2 Indirect Effects of Decision Strategy on Transfer learning.- 10.3 In Search of Decision Strategies for Better Decision Making.- 10.4 A Summary on the Validation of the 2-Layer Process Model.- 11. Pulling It Together: A Validated Process Model for DDM and Learning.- 11.0 Introduction.- 11.1 Role of Prior Knowledge in the Process Model.- 11.2 Overall Effects of Prior Knowledge.- 11.3 Do Dyads Do Better in Dynamic Tasks?.- 11.4 A Summary of the 3-Layer Process Model with LM Treatment.- 11.5 How Does Facilitation Matter? Pathways to DDM and Learning.- 11.6 Human-Facilitated ILEs in Service of DM and Learning in Dynamic Tasks.- 12. The Greater Whole: Human-Facilitated ILEs and Better Decision-Making: Critical Lessons Learned.- 12.0 Introduction.- 12.1 An Overview of the Main Findings.- 12.2 What are the Lessons for DDM and Learning with ILEs?.- 12.3 Research Design for Designing Decisional Aids.- 12.4 Human-Facilitated ILEs and Organizational Learning.- 12.5 Summary of the Lessons Learned.- 13. Making Better Decisions in Healthcare, Energy Policy, and Education Sectors: Human-Facilitated ILEs in Action.- 13.0 Introduction.- 13.1 Better Understanding of Healthcare Dynamics.- 13.2 System Dynamics-Based Simulations and Energy Policy.- 13.3 ILEs in Service of Education Sector.- 13.4 Summary of the Role of Human-Facilitated ILEs in Better Decision-Making.- 14. Finale: A Road Map to Better Decision Making in Complex, Dynamic Tasks.- Additional Suggested Readings.- Appendices.- Index.