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Uncertainty

A Guide to Dealing with Uncertainty in Quantitative Risk and Policy Analysis

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Paperback | 2 November 1992

At a Glance

Paperback
346 Pages

Dimensions(cm)
22.86 x 15.24 x 1.96

Paperback

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The authors explain the ways in which uncertainty is an important factor in the problems of risk and policy analysis. This book outlines the source and nature of uncertainty, discusses techniques for obtaining and using expert judgment, and reviews a variety of simple and advanced methods for analyzing uncertainty. Powerful computer environments and good graphical techniques for displaying uncertainty are just two of the more advanced topics addressed in later chapters.

Industry Reviews

'This book is a significant contribution to the exploration of the basic issues and constitutes an important addition to the technical literature addressing uncertainty.' Joseph Fragola, IEEE Spectrum 'Uncertainty is a risk analysis textbook ... written to serve as a basic text for students as well as a reference work for practitioners and researchers (it) succeeds both in providing an excellent basis for policy analysis and in drawing upon a variety of case studies that will be of interest to risk researchers.' Journal of Economic Literature

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You Can Find This Book In

Non-Fiction Psychology Business & Management Management & Management Techniques Management Decision Making Entrepreneurship / Start-ups Social Services & Welfare

Preface
Introduction
Recent milestones
An overview of quantitative policy analysis
The nature of probability
Probability distributions and statistical estimation
Human judgment about and with uncertainty
Performing probability assessment
The propagation and analysis of uncertainty
The graphic communication of uncertainty
Analytica: a software tool for uncertainty analysis
Large and complex models
The value of knowing how little you know
Index
Table of Contents provided by Publisher. All Rights Reserved.

Uncertainty

A Guide to Dealing with Uncertainty in Quantitative Risk and Policy Analysis

At a Glance

Paperback

Industry Reviews

Shipping

How to return your order

Defective items

You Can Find This Book In

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