| Preface | |
| Acknowledgements | |
| Acronyms | |
| Glossary | |
| Introduction | |
| Introduction | p. 3 |
| Regime transition: from cold war to co-operative security | p. 3 |
| Military power and international security | p. 4 |
| Building a new security relationship | p. 6 |
| The case for a Russian-US security community | p. 9 |
| Danger signs | p. 10 |
| Nuclear gridlock | p. 12 |
| Woe and wickedness | p. 13 |
| A gathering storm | p. 14 |
| The problem is the solution | p. 16 |
| Towards a defence community | p. 17 |
| No hegemony | p. 20 |
| Regime transition: from cold war to co-operative security | |
| History accelerates: the diplomacy of co-operation and fragmentation | p. 25 |
| Basic themes in post-cold war US-Soviet relations | p. 26 |
| The new world order | p. 29 |
| Resolution 678 and Soviet peace proposals | p. 34 |
| Building an economic partnership | p. 37 |
| US policy and the disintegration of the USSR | p. 40 |
| The USA, the Commonwealth and beyond | p. 48 |
| Moscow's nationalities problem: the collapse of empire and the challenges ahead | p. 55 |
| Introduction: the multinational Soviet Union | p. 55 |
| Lessons about empires | p. 56 |
| Creation of the Russian empire | p. 59 |
| The Soviet Union as empire | p. 60 |
| The collapse of the Soviet empire | p. 62 |
| The challenge of national independence | p. 64 |
| The future of the Commonwealth: centripetal and centrifugal forces | p. 69 |
| The international implications of the Soviet breakup | p. 71 |
| Conclusion: causes for optimism | p. 74 |
| A national security policy for Russia | p. 75 |
| Three circles of Russian interests | p. 76 |
| Creating a defence community | p. 77 |
| The Russian Army in transition | p. 78 |
| Russian-US partnership | p. 79 |
| The creation of a Russian foreign policy | p. 81 |
| The collapse of the Soviet Union | p. 81 |
| Emerging republic foreign policy | p. 82 |
| The development of independent Russian foreign policy | p. 82 |
| Western policies towards centre-republic relations | p. 88 |
| The future of Russian foreign policy | p. 91 |
| Recommendations for the West | p. 93 |
| Issues and images: Washington and Moscow in great power politics | p. 94 |
| Issues and images, 1945-89 | p. 95 |
| Issues and images, 1991 and beyond | p. 102 |
| Military power and international stability | |
| Theatre forces in the Commonwealth of Independent States | p. 113 |
| The political-military environment | p. 114 |
| The impact of perestroika on CIS theatre forces | p. 118 |
| Development of CIS operational thinking in the 1990s | p. 123 |
| The impact of the Persian Gulf War on military thinking in the CIS | p. 130 |
| Implications of CIS operational thinking on force structure in the year 2000 | p. 133 |
| CIS force structure options in the year 2000 | p. 135 |
| Mobilization | p. 147 |
| A final note | p. 149 |
| US theatre forces in the year 2000 | p. 150 |
| Force dimensions | p. 150 |
| Conceptual organization | p. 152 |
| US military thinking about theatre warfare in the 21st century | p. 153 |
| The nature of US theatre forces in the year 2000 | p. 159 |
| The view from NATO | p. 162 |
| The reinforcement problem: strategic lift | p. 165 |
| Reserve structure | p. 167 |
| A final word | p. 168 |
| High technology after the cold war | p. 169 |
| Developments in US military high technology | p. 170 |
| The problem of technological development in Russia | p. 176 |
| Impact on global and regional security | p. 180 |
| Managing technological competition | p. 181 |
| The metastable peace: a catastrophe theory model of US-Russia relations | p. 185 |
| Why use a model? | p. 188 |
| Which model to use? | p. 189 |
| Model analysis | p. 199 |
| Final observations | p. 205 |
| Building a new security relationship | |
| Co-operation or competition: the battle of ideas in Russia policy experts | p. 209 |
| The roots of the interest in security co-operation | p. 209 |
| The effort at detente | p. 212 |
| New thinking | p. 214 |
| The new emphasis on co-operation | p. 215 |
| The US response to new thinking | p. 216 |
| The Bush Administration | p. 218 |
| Security co-operation as seen by Russian foreign policy experts | p. 219 |
| Building a Eurasian-Atlantic security community: co-operative management of the military transition | p. 224 |
| Conflict and chaos in the Soviet military | p. 226 |
| Near-term measures | p. 236 |
| Military-to-military co-operation | p. 241 |
| Joint missions and allied operations | p. 243 |
| Conclusion: institutionalizing the Eurasian-Atlantic security community | p. 245 |
| Russian-US security co-operation on the high seas | p. 249 |
| Why expand the arms control regime at sea? | p. 250 |
| Existing measures | p. 252 |
| Expanding security co-operation at sea | p. 259 |
| Defence planning: the potential for transparency and co-operation | p. 272 |
| Budget and procurement processes | p. 273 |
| The tangibles: weapon procurement | p. 279 |
| The intangibles: military budgets, doctrine, strategy and organization | p. 282 |
| Conclusion: moving towards an uncertain future | p. 288 |
| Some limits on co-operation and transparency: operational security and the use of force | p. 289 |
| Grenada | p. 293 |
| Panama | p. 297 |
| The Persian Gulf War | p. 300 |
| Implications | p. 304 |
| About the authors | p. 306 |
| Index | p. 308 |
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