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Probability and Evidence

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Paperback | 16 June 2011

At a Glance

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158 Pages

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21.59 x 13.97 x 0.94

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In this volume, which was originally published in 1982, Paul Horwich presents a clear and unified approach to a number of problems in the philosophy of science. He diagnoses the failure of other attempts to resolve them as stemming from a too-rigid, all-or-nothing conception of belief, and adopts instead a Bayesian strategy, emphasising the degree of confidence to which we are entitled the light of scientific evidence. This probabilistic approach, he argues, yields a more complete understanding of the assumptions and procedures characteristic of scientific reasoning. It also accounts for the merits of simplicity, severe tests and surprising predictions, and provides a way in which the dispute between the realist and instrumentalist views of science might be resolved. The result is a crisp, well-focused contribution to the philosophy of science. The elaboration of an important conception of probability will stimulate anyone with an interest in the field.

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You Can Find This Book In

Non-Fiction Science Science in General Impact of Science & Technology on Society Mathematics Probability & Statistics Philosophy Epistemology & The Theory of Knowledge Philosophy of Science Ethics & Moral Philosophy History of Science History of Western Philosophy

Western Philosophy Analytical Philosophy & Logical Positivism

Preface
Methodology
Introduction
Aspects of the scientific method
A taste of Bayesianism
Probability
The primitive theory
Subjectivism
The rationalist interpretation
The logical interpretation
The evidential state
The empirical interpretation
Confirmation
Explications
The paradox
A Bayesian pseudo-solution to the problem of induction
Projection
Induction
The Nature of Inductive Inference
Conditions of Rationality
Demonstrable reliability
The demonstrable reliability of c+
Immodesty
Audacity
The Justification of Induction
The impossibility of a noncircular rationale
Inductive demonstration of reliability
Semantic justification
Prediction
Surprise
Severe tests
Ad hoc hypothesis
Prediction versus accommodation
Evidence
The evidential value of varied data
The value of further data
Realism
Popper
Realism versus instrumentalism
Putnam
Glymour
Conclusion
Bibliography
Index
Table of Contents provided by Publisher. All Rights Reserved.

Probability and Evidence

At a Glance

Paperback

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