Dependability Modelling under Uncertainty

An Imprecise Probabilistic Approach

By: Philipp Limbourg

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Hardcover | 20 August 2008

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Hardcover
160 Pages

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24.13 x 15.88 x 1.27

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Mechatronic design processes have become shorter and more parallelized, induced by growing time-to-market pressure. Methods that enable quantitative analysis in early design stages are required, should dependability analyses aim to influence the design. Due to the limited amount of data in this phase, the level of uncertainty is high and explicit modeling of these uncertainties becomes necessary.

This work introduces new uncertainty-preserving dependability methods for early design stages. These include the propagation of uncertainty through dependability models, the activation of data from similar components for analyses and the integration of uncertain dependability predictions into an optimization framework. It is shown that Dempster-Shafer theory can be an alternative to probability theory in early design stage dependability predictions. Expert estimates can be represented, input uncertainty is propagated through the system and prediction uncertainty can be measured and interpreted. The resulting coherent methodology can be applied to represent the uncertainty in dependability models.

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You Can Find This Book In

Non-Fiction Reference, Information & Interdisciplinary Subjects Research & Information Information theory Mathematics Probability & Statistics Applied Mathematics Computing & I.T.Computer Science Artificial Intelligence Systems Analysis & Design Engineering & Technology

Mechanical Engineering & Materials Production & Industrial Engineering Industrial Quality Control Computer Programming & Software Development Software Engineering Technology in General Engineering in General

Introduction	p. 1
Dependability Prediction in Early Design Stages	p. 7
Representation and Propagation of Uncertainty Using the Dempster-Shafer Theory of Evidence	p. 21
Predicting Dependability Characteristics by Similarity Estimates - A Regression Approach	p. 53
Design Space Specification of Dependability Optimization Problems Using Feature Models	p. 77
Evolutionary Multi-objective Optimization of Imprecise Probabilistic Models	p. 89
Case Study	p. 107
Summary, Conclusions and Outlook	p. 123
References	p. 127
Index	p. 137
Table of Contents provided by Blackwell. All Rights Reserved.

Dependability Modelling under Uncertainty

An Imprecise Probabilistic Approach

At a Glance

Hardcover

Shipping

How to return your order

Defective items

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