China 2020

Dedication Foreword Preface Acknowledgements List of abbreviations About the authors Chapter 1: China in 2020: the leadership and the Party The background A learning-oriented Marxist party Intra-Party democracy The transition The posts Chapter 2: China 2020: international relations The current parameters of China's foreign policy A China that can say no but is still unhappy The elephant in the room: the US will always be number one The world beyond the US The two big problems: Taiwan and North Korea China as an international player by 2020 International China in the coming decade - the two paths A Beijing model The key factor: what happens within Chapter 3: The Chinese economy in the next decade Forecasting China The Chinese state Politics, policy and the state China and the global economy The financial sector Inequality and consumption Demography Urbanisation Conclusion Chapter 4: China's military in 2020 Introduction: robust economy Arms embargoes Combat experience Confidence and change PLA: the armed wing of the Party The PLA ground forces The People's Liberation Army Air Force (PLAAF) The People's Liberation Army Navy (PLAN) The Second Artillery Corps (SAC) The People's Armed Police (PAP) Cyber warfare Strategic implications Force projection Defence in depth Policy implications Conclusion Chapter 5: China's environment in 2020 Economy Resource constraints International climate talks Energy and renewable power Waste and pollution Food Biodiversity Politics Chapter 6: China's western regions 2020: their national and global implications What are China's western regions? Issues raised by the western regions Development and Develop the West Economic growth and human development in the western regions Western regions in global perspective Chongqing and Chengdu - growth pole(s) for the western regions? Prospects to 2020 and policy implications Chapter 7: China's rule of law Chinese and foreigners Asian values and the law Development of law in China in modern history The constitution Elements of the legal system in China The judiciary The legislative system Law versus the state in China Human and civil rights New developments influencing law in China Chongqing mafia trials BMW case Conclusion Policy approaches Chapter 8: China's 'soft power' development by 2020 'Soft power' in Chinese discourse China's tools of soft power Beijing's objectives The domestic priority Challenges ahead Weaknesses in China's soft power currency China's soft power in 2020 Conclusion Index