
Actuarial Theory for Dependent Risks
Measures, Orders and Models
By: Michel Denuit
eText | 1 May 2006 | Edition Number 1
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* Describes how to model risks in incomplete markets, emphasising insurance risks.
* Explains how to measure and compare the danger of risks, model their interactions, and measure the strength of their association.
* Examines the type of dependence induced by GLM-based credibility models, the bounds on functions of dependent risks, and probabilistic distances between actuarial models.
* Detailed presentation of risk measures, stochastic orderings, copula models, dependence concepts and dependence orderings.
* Includes numerous exercises allowing a cementing of the concepts by all levels of readers.
* Solutions to tasks as well as further examples and exercises can be found on a supporting website.
An invaluable reference for both academics and practitioners alike, Actuarial Theory for Dependent Risks will appeal to all those eager to master the up-to-date modelling tools for dependent risks. The inclusion of exercises and practical examples makes the book suitable for advanced courses on risk management in incomplete markets. Traders looking for practical advice on insurance markets will also find much of interest.
on
Preface.
PART??I: THE CONCEPT OF RISKS.
1. Modelling Risks.
1.1 Introduction.
1.2 The Probabilitsic Description of Risks.
1.3 Indepenance for Events and Conditional Probabilities.
1.4 Random Variables and Vectors.
1.5 Distribution Functions.
1.6 Mathematical Expectation.
1.7 Transforms.
1.8 Conditional Ditsributions.
1.9 Comonotonicity.
1.10 Mutual Exclusivity.
1.11 Exercises.
2. Measuring Risk.
2.1 Introduction.
2.2 Risk Measures.
2.3 Value-at-Risk.
2.4 Tail Value-at-Risk.
2.5 Risk MEasures Based on Expected Utility Theory.
2.6 Risk Measures Based on Distorted Expectation Theory.
2.7 Exercises.
2.8 Appendix: Convexity and Concavity.
3. Comparing Risks.
3.1 Introduction.
3.2 Stochastic Order Relations.
3.3 Stochastic Dominance.
3.4 Convex and Stop-Loss Orders.
3.5 Exercises.
PART??II: DEPENDANCE BETWEEN RISKS.
4. Modelling Dependence.
4.1 Introduction.
4.2 Sklar's Representation Theorem.
4.3 Families of Bivariate Copulas.
4.4 Properties of Copulas.
4.5 The Archimedean Family of Cpoulas.
4.6 Simulation from Given Marginals and Copula.
4.7 Multivariate Copulas.
4.8 Loss-Alae Modelling with Archimedean Copulas: A Case Study.
4.9 Exercises.
5. Measuring Depenence.
5.1 Introduction.
5.2 Concordance Measures.
5.3 Dependence Structures.
5.4 Exercises.
6. Comparing Depe6.1 Introduction.
6.2 Comparing in the Bivariate Case Using the Correlation Order.
6.3 Comparing Dependence in the Multivariate Case Using the Supermodular Order.
6.4 Positive Orthant Depenedence Order.
6.5 Exercises.
PART??III: APPLICATIONS TO INSURANCE MATHEMATICS.
7. Depenedence in Credibility Models Based on Generalized Linear Models.
7.1 Introduction.
7.2 Poisson Static Credibility for Claim Frequencies.
7.3 More Results for the Static Credibility Model.
7.4 More Results for the Dynamic Credibility Models.
7.5 On the Depenedence Induced By Bonus-Malus Scales.
7.6 Credibility Theory and Time Series for Non-Normal Data.
7.7 Exercises.
8. Stochastic Bounds on Functions of Dependent Risks.
8.1 Introduction.
8.2 Comparing Risks with Fixed Depoenedence Structure.
8.3 Stop-Loss Bounds on Functions of Dependent Risks.
8.4 Stochastic Bounds on Functions of Dependent Risks.
8.5 Some Financial Applications.
8.6 Exercises.
9. Integral Orderings and Probability Metrics.
9.1 Introduction.
9.2 Integral Stochastic Oredrings.
9.3 Integral Probability Metrics.
9.4 Total-Variation Distance.
9.5 Kolmogorov Distance.
9.6 Wasserstein Distance.
9.7 Stop-Loss Distance.
9.8 Integrated Stop-Loss Distance.
9.9 Distance Between the Individual and Collective Models in Risk Theory.
9.10 Compound Poisson Approximation for a Portfolio of Dependent Risks.
9.11 Exercises.
References.
Index.
ISBN: 9780470016442
ISBN-10: 0470016442
Published: 1st May 2006
Format: PDF
Language: English
Publisher: Wiley Professional Development (P&T)
Edition Number: 1
























