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Uncertainty

A Guide to Dealing with Uncertainty in Quantitative Risk and Policy Analysis

By: Millett Granger Morgan, Max Henrion

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eText | 31 August 1990 | Edition Number 1

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The authors explain the ways in which uncertainty is an important factor in the problems of risk and policy analysis. This book outlines the source and nature of uncertainty, discusses techniques for obtaining and using expert judgment, and reviews a variety of simple and advanced methods for analyzing uncertainty.