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Ten Crises - Peter Montiel

Ten Crises

By: Peter Montiel

Hardcover | 11 November 2013 | Edition Number 1

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Although the financial crisis of 2008 and after appeared in many ways to have sprung from nowhere, its genesis possessed strong antecedents. In this book, Peter Montiel analyzes ten case studies of crises that have occurred in a diverse set of countries (including industrial, transition and emerging-market economies) over the past thirty years.

The examination of these experiences is conducted within a common analytical framework guided by the three "generations" of crisis models that have been developed by economists to explain currency crises. The crises are "financial" in the sense that, while they are all considered major currency crises, they combine to varying degrees elements of banking crises as well as sovereign debt crises. They have been selected not only for their importance in terms of the size and prominence of the countries involved and the severity of their impacts on the relevant economies, but also because of the lessons that, both individually and in comparison to each other, they provide.

The specific crises covered are the 1981-82 Chilean crisis, the 1992 ERM crisis, the 1994 Mexican crisis, the 1997 Asian crisis, the 1998 Russian crisis, the 1999 Brazilian crisis, the 1999 Ecuadorean crisis, the 2000 Turkish crisis, the 2001-02 Argentine crisis, and the 2009 Icelandic crisis. The historical timeline presented provides essential pointers to the world's current predicament.

Industry Reviews

"What can one learn from past experience to avoid future financial crises? Montiel (Williams College) seeks to answer that question by examining economic crises involving countries in Asia, Europe, and Latin America from 1980 to 2010. With the small number of observations precluding statistical analysis, he effectively uses comparative case studies to support his findings. For each crisis, Montiel applies a common outline that includes background information, development of vulnerabilities, identification of a precipitating event, description of the crisis, policy responses, evaluation of outcomes, and lessons learned. From the comparisons, he finds that breakdowns in expectations that financial obligations will be honored arise from widespread doubts about the sufficiency of central banks' foreign exchange reserves; the ability of governments to pay off their sovereign debts; or the convertibility of commercial bank demand deposits to cash at par. He notes from those experiences that weakness in one sector frequently leads to breakdowns in others. His final chapter summarizes those crises and presents fiscal, monetary, and financial sector policy recommendations to avoid their future occurrence. Summing Up: Recommended.
Students, upper-division undergraduate and up; faculty, researchers, professionals, general readers." -- E. L. Whalen, formerly, Clarke College published in CHOICE May 2014


"What can one learn from past experience to avoid future financial crises? Montiel (Williams College) seeks to answer that question by examining economic crises involving countries in Asia, Europe, and Latin America from 1980 to 2010. With the small number of observations precluding statistical analysis, he effectively uses comparative case studies to support his findings...Summing Up: Recommended." - E. L. Whalen, formerly, Clarke College for CHOICE

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