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Statistical : Ten Easy Ways to Avoid Being Misled By Numbers - Anthony Reuben

Statistical

Ten Easy Ways to Avoid Being Misled By Numbers

By: Anthony Reuben

Hardcover | 2 May 2019 | Edition Number 1

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There's no getting away from statistics, however hard you try. Open a newspaper and see how long it takes you to find the first item based on numbers. It might be a poll about what people think of the US president or the latest figures showing what has happened to wages. Perhaps the country is experiencing record temperatures or the head of the NHS is arguing that the organisation needs more money. We use them every day.

It's not just in the news either. The company you work for may be revealing its gender pay gap or your child's school could be contacting you about its funding for the year. Your friends could be arguing about who is the greatest English batsman of all time or whether they should buy a petrol or diesel car. Perhaps you are trying to choose between different loans or just deciding whether to take an umbrella out with you today.

Statistics don't need to be scary. If you can add, subtract, multiply and divide then you already have most of the tools you need to challenge the numbers all around you. And in this book you'll find the other tools you need to deal with the things you hear that set off alarm bells in your head. There will be hardly any sums to do and no unreasonably tricky mathematical concepts. As long as you hear the alarm bells at the right time you can treat stories with due suspicion. No longer will you need to be scared by stories about the growing risk of things or threats that will bankrupt the economy. You will be free to go about your life without being misled by dubious statistics and bogus claims.

We are all users of statistics whether we like it or not, and everyone needs the confidence to challenge the numbers they hear. Statistical is here to tell you how.

About the Author

Anthony Reuben was the BBC's first Head of Statistics and now works on the corporation's fact-checking Reality Check brand, which he created. Anthony has 23 years' experience in journalism, and has been read by millions of readers of the BBC News website over the past 12 years. He has twice won the Royal Statistical Society's award for excellence in journalism and been shortlisted twice for the British Journalism Awards.
Industry Reviews
Fascinating . . . timely . . . a lovely humorous undercurrent to it all -- Marcus Berkmann * Daily Mail *
A refreshingly clear and engaging guide to the statistical claims all around us * Tim Harford, author of Fifty Things That Made The Modern Economy & Presenter of BBC More or Less *
Having spent his journalistic career working in a newsroom, being inundated with press releases full with dodgy statistics, Reuben has learned all the ways in which numbers can tell a misleading story. In this delightful book, full of unique insights from personal experience, he warns us of the phrases to look out for, and all the questions to ask about shabby surveys and dubious economic forecasts - there's also a great chapter on how to interpret big numbers. And he advises that we all ask the big question - is this number reasonably likely to be true? * Prof Sir David Spiegelhalter *
Statistics can clarify or confuse. That's why you need to read this book * John Humphrys *

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