| Preface | p. ix |
| Prelude | p. 1 |
| The Scientific Method | p. 3 |
| Edwin Smith papyrus | p. 3 |
| Greek philosophy (4th century BC) | p. 4 |
| Islamic philosophy (8th century AD-15th century AD) | p. 6 |
| European Science (12th century AD-16th century AD) | p. 7 |
| Scientific Revolution (1543 AD-18th century AD) | p. 9 |
| Humanism and Empiricism | p. 13 |
| The Scientific Method | p. 15 |
| Application of the Scientific Method to Everyday Problem | p. 16 |
| Observation | p. 17 |
| External information | p. 21 |
| Missed information | p. 21 |
| Misinformation | p. 22 |
| Hidden information | p. 27 |
| No information | p. 32 |
| Unaware information | p. 35 |
| Evidence-based information | p. 37 |
| Internal information | p. 37 |
| Self-denied information | p. 38 |
| Biased information | p. 39 |
| Unexploited information | p. 40 |
| Peripheral information | p. 42 |
| Hypothesis | p. 45 |
| Abduction | p. 55 |
| Wild conjectures | p. 57 |
| Albert Einstein | p. 61 |
| Experiment | p. 65 |
| Experiment versus hypothesis | p. 79 |
| Platonic, Aristotelian, Baconian, and Galilean methodology | p. 81 |
| Recognition | p. 83 |
| John Nash | p. 92 |
| Problem Situation and Problem Definition | p. 97 |
| Perspectives on different levels | p. 97 |
| Perspectives on the same level | p. 98 |
| Induction and Deduction | p. 107 |
| Induction | p. 107 |
| Deduction | p. 110 |
| Alternative Solutions | p. 119 |
| Lotion bottle with a pump dispenser | p. 137 |
| Relation | p. 139 |
| Creativity | p. 149 |
| Ordinary thinking | p. 150 |
| Creative thinking | p. 151 |
| Knowledge | p. 151 |
| Insight | p. 152 |
| Unconscious mind | p. 153 |
| Double helix | p. 154 |
| Genetic material | p. 154 |
| Watson and Crick at Cavendish Laboratory, Cambridge | p. 155 |
| Rosalind Franklin at King's College, London | p. 158 |
| The triple helix model | p. 159 |
| The double helix model | p. 161 |
| Creative thinking and Ordinary thinking | p. 164 |
| Scientific Research and Scientific Method | p. 165 |
| Can we be more creative? | p. 166 |
| Mathematics | p. 169 |
| Probable Value | p. 195 |
| Epilogue | p. 209 |
| Bibliography | p. 213 |
| Index | p. 219 |
| List of Tables | p. viii |
| List of Figures | p. x |
| Foreword | p. xi |
| Acknowledgements | p. xv |
| Notes on Contributors | p. xvi |
| Introduction | p. xix |
| Emerging Banking Systems | p. 1 |
| Introduction | p. 1 |
| Systemic financial crises in the 1990s | p. 2 |
| Common characteristics of recent financial crises | p. 6 |
| Recovery strategies followed by emerging countries | p. 9 |
| The reform of the banking systems of emerging countries | p. 13 |
| The role of foreign banks | p. 21 |
| Conclusions | p. 26 |
| China | p. 34 |
| Introduction | p. 34 |
| The Chinese economy: an overview | p. 36 |
| Structure of the Chinese banking system | p. 39 |
| Recent reforms in the Chinese banking sector | p. 41 |
| International integration of the Chinese banking system | p. 48 |
| Conclusions | p. 53 |
| India | p. 56 |
| Introduction | p. 56 |
| From protectionism to liberalisation | p. 57 |
| The bank nationalisation period | p. 58 |
| The banking reforms | p. 60 |
| The structure of the Indian banking system | p. 65 |
| Financial deepening and financial inclusion | p. 71 |
| Conclusions | p. 74 |
| Indonesia | p. 79 |
| Introduction | p. 79 |
| The Indonesian economy: a five-step transformation | p. 81 |
| The 1997-99 Asian crisis: the onset and the way out | p. 85 |
| A bank-oriented financial system | p. 87 |
| Recent performance and lingering fragilities of Indonesian banks | p. 92 |
| Foreign banks in Indonesia: role and perspectives | p. 97 |
| Brazil | p. 101 |
| Introduction | p. 101 |
| A long-term perspective on Brazilian development | p. 102 |
| The Brazilian banking system at the turn of the century | p. 106 |
| The Brazilian system at the beginning of the new millennium: an emerging system with some 'anomalies' | p. 111 |
| Assessing the stability of the Brazilian banking system | p. 117 |
| Conclusions | p. 120 |
| North Africa | p. 126 |
| The economies of North Africa in the framework of Euro-Mediterranean relations | p. 126 |
| Structural profiles of the North African economies | p. 134 |
| Recent macroeconomic developments in North Africa | p. 138 |
| Structural reforms in North African economies | p. 143 |
| International opening | p. 144 |
| Institutional framework | p. 146 |
| The banking systems of North Africa: quantitative indicators | p. 146 |
| The banking systems of North Africa: qualitative profiles | p. 149 |
| Stability and efficiency | p. 150 |
| Recent reforms | p. 152 |
| Privatisations and the role of foreign banks | p. 154 |
| Conclusions | p. 155 |
| Russia | p. 162 |
| Introduction | p. 162 |
| The Russian economy: from default to recovery | p. 163 |
| From Perestroika to the new millennium: banking reforms a la Russe | p. 165 |
| Structure and development of the Russian banking system | p. 168 |
| Recent evolutions and perspectives: between dirigisme and opening the market | p. 172 |
| Conclusions | p. 178 |
| Turkey | p. 183 |
| Introduction | p. 183 |
| Recent trends in the Turkish economy | p. 184 |
| The banking sector in Turkey: a deep change | p. 189 |
| Banking in Turkey: risks and opportunities | p. 193 |
| Conclusions | p. 199 |
| Index | p. 205 |
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