Judgement and Decision Making

VOLUME 1: FOUNDATIONS Half A Century of Judgment and Decision Making Research - Nick Chater A. Rationality A Tutorial Introduction to Decision Theory - D. W. North The Nature and Scope of Rational-choice Explanation - J. Elster Rational Choice and the Structure of the Environment - H.A. Simon Choices, Values, and Frames - D. Kahneman and A. Tversky The Rational Analysis of Mind and Behaviour - Nick Chater and M. Oaksford B. Theoretical Perspectives Organismic Achievement and Environmental Probability - E. Brunswik Man as an Intuitive Statistician - C.R. Peterson and L.R. Beach A Perspective on Judgment and Choice: Mapping bounded rationality - D. Kahneman Bounding Rationality to the World - P.M. Todd and G. Gigerenzer Adaptive Strategy Selection in Decision Making - J.W. Payne, J.R. Bettman and E.J. Johnson Reasoning in Explanation-based Decision Making - N. Pennington and R. Hastie C. Utility An Experimental Measurement of Utility - F. Mosteller and P. Nogee Value Elicitation: Is there anything in there? - B. Fischoff Back to Bentham? Explorations of experienced utility - D. Kahneman, P.P. Wakker and R. Sarin Coherent Arbitrariness: Stable demand curves without stable preferences - D. Ariely, G. Loewenstein and D. Prelec Does Living in California Make People Happy? A focusing illusion in judgments of life satisfaction - D.A. Schkade and D. Kahneman Lottery Winners and Accident Victims: Is happiness relative? - P. Brickman, D. Coates and R. Janoff-Bulman Decision and Experience: Why don't we choose what makes us happy? - C.K. Hsee and R. Hastie Nonconsequentialist Decisions - J. Baron VOLUME 2: INDIVIDUAL DECISION MAKING A. Decision Making The Theory of Decision Making - W. Edwards Elimination by aspects: A theory of choice - A. Tverksy Experimental Tests of the Endowment Effect and the Coase Theorem - D. Kahneman, J.L. Knetsch and R.H. Thaler What a Speaker's Choice of Frame Reveals: Reference points, frame selection, and framing effects - C.R.M. McKenzie and J.D. Nelson Choosing Versus Rejecting: Why some options are both better and worse than others - E. Shafir Reason-based Choice - E. Shafir, I. Simonson and A. Tversky The Construction of Preference - P. Slovic B. Decisions under Risk The Framing of Decisions and the Psychology of Choice - A. Tversky and D. Kahneman Prospect Theory: An analysis of decisions under risk - D. Kahneman and A. Tversky The Priority Heuristic: Making choices without trade-offs - E. Brandstaetter, G. Gigerenzer and R. Hertwig Decisions from Experience and the Effect of Rare Events in Risky Choice - R. Hertwig, G. Barron, E.U. Weber and I. Erev Humans Rapidly Estimate Expected Gain in Movement Planning - J. Trommershaeuser, M.S. Landy and L.T. Maloney C. Decisions and Time Preference Reversals Due to Myopic Discounting of Delayed Reward - K.N. Kirby and R.J. Herrnstein Temporal Construal - Y. Trope and N. Liberman The Red and the Black: Mental accounting of savings and debt - D. Prelec and G. Loewenstein Save More Tomorrow: Using behavioral economics to increase employee savings - S. Benartzi and R. Thaler VOLUME 3: PROBABILITY AND JUDGMENT A. Probability and Risk Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability - A. Tversky and D. Kahneman Subjective Probability: A judgment of representativeness - D. Kahneman and A. Tversky Extensional Versus Intuitive Reasoning: The conjunction fallacy in probability judgments - A. Tversky and D. Kahneman Optimal Predictions in Everyday Cognition - T.L. Griffiths and J.B. Tenenbaum Decision by Sampling - M. Stewart, N. Chater and G.D.A Brown How to Improve Bayesian Reasoning without Instruction: Frequency formats - G. Gigerenzer and U. Hoffrage Risk Perception and Communication - B. Fischoff, A. Bostrom, and M. Jacobs Quandrel B. Judgment Measurement and prediction, clinical and statistical - J. Sawyer On the Psychology of Prediction - D. Kahneman and A. Tversky The Robust Beauty of Improper Linear Models - R.M. Dawes Reasoning the Fast and Frugal Way: Models of. bounded rationality - G. Gigerenzer and D. Goldstein Spontaneous Discounting of Availability in Frequency Judgment Tasks - D.M. Oppenheimer Beware of Samples! A cognitive-ecological sampling approach to judgment biases - K. Fiedler C. Confidence, Goals and Expertise Physicians' use of Probabilistic Information in a Real Clinical Setting - J.J.J. Christensen-Szalanski and J.B. Bushyhead Do Those Who Know More also Know More about How Much They Know? - S. Lichtenstein and B. Fischhoff The Naive Intuitive Statistician: A naive sampling model of intuitive confidence intervals - P. Juslin, A. Winman and P. Hansson The Process-performance Paradox in Expert Judgment: How can experts know so much and predict so badly? - C.F. Camerer and E.J. Johnson VOLUME 4: INTERACTIVE AND GROUP PROCESSES A. Interactive Decision Making Some Experimental Games - M.M. Flood Cooperation - R. Dawes and R. Thaler The Evolution of Cooperation - R. Axelrod and W.D. Hamilton The Illusion of Morality as Self-interest: A reason to cooperate in social dilemmas - J. Baron Predicting how People Play Games: Reinforcement learning in experimental games with unique, mixed strategy equilibria - I. Erev and A.E. Roth An Experimental Analysis of Ultimatum Bargaining - W. G th, R. Schmittberger and B. Schwarze B. Judgment and Decision Making In Groups Bias in Judgment: Comparing individuals and groups - N.L. Kerr, R. MacCoun and G.P. Kramer Group Polarization: A critical review and meta-analysis - Daniel J. Isenberg The Common Knowledge Effect: Information sharing and group judgment - D. Gigone and R. Hastie Not Me or Thee but We: The importance of group identity in eliciting cooperation in dilemma situations: Experimental manipulations - R.M. Dawes, A.J.C. van der Kragt and J.M. Orbell Interactive Team Reasoning: A contribution to the theory of co-operation - M. Bacharach The Judgment Policies of Negotiators and the Structure of Negotiation Problems - J.L. Mumpower C. Decision Making, Economics and Society An Experimental Study of Competitive Market Behavior - V. Smith Experimental Study of Inequality and Unpredictability in an Artificial Cultural Market - M.J. Salganik, P.S. Dodds and D.J. Watts 'Economic Man' in Cross-Cultural Perspective: Ethnography and experiments from 15 small-scale societies - J. Henrich, R. Boyd, S. Bowles, H. Gintis, E. Fehr, C. Camerer, R. McElreath, M. Gurven, K. Hill, A. Barr, J. Ensminger, D. Tracer, F. Marlow, J. Patton, M. Alvard, F. Gil-White and N. Smith Mental Accounting and Consumer Choice - R.H. Thaler Choice in Context: Trade-off contrast and extremeness aversion - I. Simonson and A. Tversky Neural Predictors of Purchases - S.R. Knutson, G.E. Wimmer, D. Prelec and G. Loewenstein Inferences of Competence from Faces Predict Election Outcomes - A. Todorov, A.N. Mandisodza, A. Goren and C.C. Hall