Making Essential Choices with Scant Information

Front-End Decision Making in Major Projects

By: T. Williams (Editor), K. Samset (Editor), K. SunnevÃ¥g (Editor)

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Hardcover | 26 March 2009 | Edition Number 1

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Hardcover
436 Pages

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21.59 x 13.97 x 2.87

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PART I: INTRODUCTION Decisions Made on Scant Information: Overview; T.Williams Projects, their Quality at Entry - and Challenges in the Front-end Phase; K.Samset PART II: ALIGNING PROJECTS Implementing Strategy through Project Management: The Importance of Managing the Project Front-end; P. Morris Scenarios Planning; K. van der Heijden Up-front Assessment of Needs; P.Naess Front-end Alignment of Projects - Doing the Right Project; T.Cooke-Davies Using Soft Systems Methodology to Structure Project Definition; M.Winter PART III: GENERATING INFORMATION Optimism and Misrepresentation in Early Project Development; B.Flyvbjerg Decision Behaviour - Improving Expert Judgement; G.Kirkeb¸en Useful Heuristics; B.Scheibehenne& B.von Helversen Expert Judgment of Probability and Risk; G.Wright, F.Bolger,& G.Rowe Evaluation of Risks in Complex Problems; G.Parnell Obtaining Distributions from Groups for Decisions under Uncertainty; R.Cooke PART IV: ANALYSING INFORMATION Exploratory Quantitative Analysis of Emergent Problems with Scant Information; T.Bedford Analyzing Information: Techniques and Analyses; B.Andersen Parametric Analysis; P.Pugh PART V: MAKING DECISIONS The Impact of New Information; K.Sunnevaag The Complexity of Decision-making in Large Projects with Multiple Partners: Be Prepared to Change; R.Miller& B.Hobbs From Analysis to Decision - Economic Assessment; K.Hagen

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Non-Fiction Economics Business & Management Management & Management Techniques Management Decision Making Project Management Business Strategy Business Mathematics & Systems

List of Figures	p. vii
List of Tables	p. x
Acknowledgements	p. xi
Contributors	p. xii
Introduction
Decisions Made on Scant Information: Overview	p. 3
Projects, Their Quality at Entry and Challenges in the Front-end Phase	p. 18
Aligning Projects
Implementing Strategy Through Project Management: The Importance of Managing the Project Front-end	p. 39
Scenarios Planning	p. 68
Up-Front Assessment of Needs	p. 85
Front-end Alignment of Projects - Doing the Right Project	p. 106
Using Soft Systems Methodology to Structure Project Definition	p. 125
Generating Information
Optimism and Misrepresentation in Early Project Development	p. 147
Decision Behaviour - Improving Expert Judgement	p. 169
Useful Heuristics	p. 195
Expert Judgement of Probability and Risk	p. 213
Evaluation of Risks in Complex Problems	p. 230
Obtaining Distributions from Groups for Decisions Under Uncertainty	p. 257
Analysing Information
Exploratory Quantitative Analysis of Emergent Problems with Scant Information	p. 279
Analyzing Information. Techniques and Analyses	p. 301
Parametric Analysis	p. 331
Making Decisions
The Impact of New Information	p. 353
The Complexity of Decision-Making in Large Projects with Multiple Partners: Be Prepared to Change	p. 375
Project Profitability from Society's Point of View	p. 390
Index	p. 413
Table of Contents provided by Ingram. All Rights Reserved.

Making Essential Choices with Scant Information

Front-End Decision Making in Major Projects

At a Glance

Hardcover

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How to return your order

Defective items

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