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Global Marshall Plan : Theory and Evidence - James A. Yunker

Global Marshall Plan

Theory and Evidence

By: James A. Yunker

Hardcover | 14 August 2014

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Today's foreign aid programs are small-scale because of the widespread belief that they are ineffective. This could be an example of a self-fulfilling prophecy: small scale virtually guarantees ineffectiveness. However, the pervasive contemporary pessimism regarding global economic inequality is most likely unfounded. The research described in this book suggests that a properly designed and sufficiently massive economic development assistance project—a Global Marshall Plan—could tremendously reduce the economic gap between the richest and poorest nations within a 50-year planning period. Enrichment of the poor nations would not entail impoverishment of the rich nations. The actual cost of the GMP program to the populations of the rich nations would be a very slight and virtually unnoticeable reduction in the rate of growth of their living standards.

The model incorporates features suggested by the skeptical literature on foreign aid, and it is shown that if certain key parameter values are sufficiently adverse, the GMP would indeed be ineffective. However, extensive sensitivity analysis demonstrates that the optimistic benchmark results are robust against wide variations in the numerical values of most model parameters. The fundamental policy implication of this research is that only an actual real-world experiment with a Global Marshall Plan could reliably determine whether or not it would be successful.
Industry Reviews
James Yunker's Global Marshall Plan: Theory and Evidence is an important book because the world urgently needs new ideas. The original Marshall Plan worked wonders in Europe after World War II. Although the global situation is different in many respects from the situation back then, a Global Marshall Plan is perhaps our best option for coping with global economic inequality, a problem which the world community has thus far failed to address effectively. Based on a rigorous theoretical and empirical analysis, Yunker makes a convincing case for trying out that option. -- F.J. Radermacher, University of Ulm, Germany
The scale of world inequality-within, across, and between nations, genders, and other social groups-is staggering. Unchecked, its onward march harbors the kind of social and political instability few have yet to comprehend. Yet, in much the same way we have done when it comes to tackling the other great ills of our time-war, environmental catastrophe, human insecurity, health pandemics, among others-we have eschewed serious, imaginative, and innovative thinking about how to improve, in more than a marginal way, the lived experiences of much of the world's population. That we can no longer sit on our hands while Rome proverbially burns has been made clear by many. James Yunker is one of the very few brave enough to take world changing ideas seriously, explore their potential, examine their application, and show their capacity to make a dramatic difference to the world in which we live. Brave, passionate, compelling, Yunker's Global Marshall Plan: Theory and Evidence is essential reading for all. -- Rorden Wilkinson, University of Sussex, University of Manchester

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