From Observations To Simulations

A Conceptual Introduction To Weather And Climate Modelling

By: Antonello Pasini

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Hardcover | 17 January 2006

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216 Pages

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22.6 x 16 x 2.1

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From Observations to Simulations leads us on a fascinating journey through the methods used for the scientific analysis of complex systems such as the atmosphere and the Earth system: from meteorology and climatology, as observational sciences, to the development of models and the use of computers as virtual laboratories. In plain, accessible language, avoiding technicalities, but highlighting the conceptually meaningful aspects, the book describes this "Copernican revolution" in meteorology and climatology, a change in methodological paradigm that rigorously tests the definition of some classical concepts, such as "causality" and "prediction." This is the first book that guides the general public (and sets the specialists thinking) through research on complex systems which is contributing to a change in our outlook on nature.

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Preface	p. ix
Introduction	p. 1
Meteorological and Climatic Observations	p. 9
The "State" of the Weather	p. 10
A Definition of Climate	p. 11
An Overview of Meteorological and Climatic Observations	p. 12
Conventional Observations	p. 15
Satellite Observations	p. 16
Meteorological or Climatic Observations?	p. 21
Proxy Data	p. 23
Is There Any Evidence that the Climate is Changing?	p. 27
Naive Meteorology, Coincidences and Correlations	p. 33
Approaching an Analysis of the Data and of Common Experience	p. 34
A Naive Interpretation and Its Problems	p. 37
Coincidences and Correlations in Available Data	p. 42
Let Us Take Stock of the Situation	p. 50
The Theoretical Framework: Knowledge of Single Phenomena and Complexity of the Earth System	p. 51
How Can We Read the "Great Book of Nature"?	p. 51
The Local Approach to the Study of a System	p. 54
The Interaction between Radiation and Matter and the Greenhouse Effect	p. 58
Greenhouse Gases, Clouds and Aerosols	p. 65
Approaching a Complete Scheme of Warming from the Bottom	p. 68
Nature of the Ground and Air Warming	p. 73
An Outline of Oceanic and Atmospheric Dynamics	p. 77
Feedbacks and Complexity of System	p. 81
The Galilean Experimental Method: A Digression?	p. 89
Aristotelian Physics of Local Motions and the Advent of Galileo Galilei	p. 90
The Galilean "Style"	p. 94
A Galilean Method for Studying the Weather and the Climate?	p. 97
Simulation Models	p. 103
How Many Meanings Does the Word "Model" Have?	p. 103
The SimulationApproach	p. 107
Conceptual Novelities in the Simulation Method and Its Use	p. 111
Meteorological Models	p. 117
The "Perception" of the Weather Forecasting Activity	p. 117
The Heart of a Meteorological Model: Primitive Equations and Their Numerical Solutions	p. 119
Physical Parameterisations	p. 126
Determination of Initial State and Analysis Procedure	p. 128
The Products of a Meteorological Model	p. 131
The Emergence of Deterministic Chaos and Ensemble Integrations	p. 134
A Few Conceptual Remarks	p. 142
Climatic Models	p. 149
From Weather Forecasting to Climate Forecasting: What Changes?	p. 149
The Concept of "Attractor" and Climatic Simulations	p. 151
Approaching the Description of a Coupled and Highly Interacting Climate System	p. 156
Experiments for Validation and Sensitivity Testing of a Climatic Model	p. 161
Evolutionary Validation and Climatic Forecasts	p. 165
Simplified Models and Regional-Scale Models	p. 170
Simulation Results	p. 174
Further Remarks about Climate Change and Its Study	p. 179
Conclusions and Prospects	p. 185
The Results of Climatic Models and "What Should We Do?"	p. 186
The Future of Models for Studying the Weather and Climate	p. 189
Bibliography	p. 195
Index	p. 197
Table of Contents provided by Ingram. All Rights Reserved.

From Observations To Simulations

A Conceptual Introduction To Weather And Climate Modelling

At a Glance

Hardcover

Shipping

How to return your order

Defective items

You Can Find This Book In

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