Forecasting Technological Innovation

By: B. Henry (Editor)

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Hardcover | 30 September 1991

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340 Pages

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25.4 x 17.15 x 1.91

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The Seminar on which this book is based, held within the framework of the well-known 'Eurocourses' of the Joint Research Centre of the Commission of the European Communities, emphasized the relation between technological forecasting and industrial innovation: national and corporate strategies aiming at the latter for the sake of productivity and competitivity should build upon the former. The book, like the Seminar, consists of three parts. Part I deals with the innovation processes and models and tackles some forecasting methodologies, as those based upon economic driving forces and technological competition. Part II is a review of prospected innovation in the short term in key generic technologies. Part III emphasizes the role in the innovation process of various innovation practitioners and their need for or practice of technological forecasting. The various papers have been contributed by senior academic and research scientists (Part I) and senior industrialists (Parts II and III). The Editor, an electrical and nuclear engineer, is currently senior adviser at the recently created Institute for Prospective Technological Studies of the Joint Research Centre of the CEC.

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Editor's foreword
Introduction
Fundamentals and Methodologies
The innovation process: analysis, driving forces, obstacles, assessment	p. 1
Foresight: a policy experiment in the Netherlands	p. 25
Forecasting the strategic impact of technological innovation on competitive dynamics in industries	p. 41
Modeling innovation diffusion	p. 55
Economic aspects of innovation diffusion	p. 79
The revival of mature industries through new technologies	p. 91
Market penetration forecasting methodologies for new technologies and new products	p. 107
Sectoral Case Studies
Forecasting technological innovation: the case of advanced materials	p. 129
Forecasting innovation in the machinery and automation sector	p. 145
Characteristics and trends of innovation in electronics and information technology	p. 157
Forecasting innovations in telecommunications	p. 181
Technological innovation in transport	p. 201
Technological innovation from biotechnology	p. 221
The Ispra Mark BA process, an example of innovative process development from E.C. research	p. 239
Some Actors in the Innovation Process
Innovation management in a medium-sized company	p. 253
The project Industrial Innovation: a Dutch example of innovation stimulation at national level	p. 263
Some implications of economies of scale, learning curves and market share for the innovation process and how the Community programmes VALUE and SPRINT may stimulate it	p. 281
The role of Contract Research Organizations	p. 295
Table of Contents provided by Blackwell. All Rights Reserved.

Forecasting Technological Innovation

At a Glance

Hardcover

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How to return your order

Defective items

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