Introduction 1
Foreword Jeffrey Polovina 3
Foreword Sheila JJ Heymans 4
Part I. Ecosystem Modelling
1. On modelling and making predictions 7
2. Modelling predator-prey interactions 19
3. Your research question? 24
4. Defining the ecosystem 27
Part II. An Introduction to Ecopath
5. The energy balance of a box 33
6. Biomasses and units 42
7. Production/biomass 45
8. Consumption/biomass 48
9. Ecotrophic efficiency 51
10. Mass balance 53
11. Multi-stanza life histories 60
12. Uncertainty 63
Part III. Network Analysis
13. Network analysis 69
Part IV. An Introduction to Ecosim
14. Foraging arena theory 79
15. A primer on dynamic modelling 92
16. An introduction to Ecosim 94
17. Predicting consumption 96
18. Age-structured dynamics 99
19. Recruitment and compensation 104
20. Predator satiation and foraging time 107
21. Holling functional response 110
22. Mediation and time forcing 113
23. Dynamic instability and multiple stable states 116
24. Hatchery production 119
25. Non-additive mortality rates 120
26. Shared foraging arenas 131
27. Bout feeding 137
Part V. Fitting Models to Data
28. Density-dependence, carrying capacity and vulnerability multipliers 147
29. Vulnerability and vulnerability multipliers 153
30. Using ecology and history to derive vulnerability multipliers 157
31. Statistical approaches for estimating vulnerability multipliers 160
32. Case study: Fitting impact on vulnerability multipliers 166
33. Case study: How fitting impacts advice 172
34. Vulnerability multipliers: Discussion 178
35. Stock reduction analysis 183
36. Constrained optimization of fishing effort 184
37. Management strategy evaluation 188
38. Fleet effort dynamics 192
Part VI. Ecological, Social and Economic Factors
39. Introduction 196
40. Revenue and profits 198
41. Value chain modelling 201
42. Price elasticity 210
43. Fishing policy exploration 212
44. External bio-economic models 214
Part VII. Ecospace Introduction
45. Introduction to Ecospace 217
46. Habitat capacity 224
47. Spatial implementation of multi-stanza and IBM 231
48. Spatial fishery dynamics 238
49. Predicting spatial effort 241
50. Migration and advection 243
Part VIII. Spatial Planning
51. Spatial planning: MSP Challenge 249
52. Spatial optimization 254
53. Coastal restoration 262
Part IX. Tracking Persistent Pollutants
54. Introduction and dynamics 266
55. Ecotracer applications 272
56. Modelling micro plastics 275
Contributors 279