
Data Assimilation
The Ensemble Kalman Filter
By: Geir Evensen
Hardcover | 27 August 2009 | Edition Number 2
At a Glance
332 Pages
Revised
24.77 x 15.88 x 2.54
Hardcover
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Data Assimilation comprehensively covers data assimilation and inverse methods, including both traditional state estimation and parameter estimation. This text and reference focuses on various popular data assimilation methods, such as weak and strong constraint variational methods and ensemble filters and smoothers. It is demonstrated how the different methods can be derived from a common theoretical basis, as well as how they differ and/or are related to each other, and which properties characterize them, using several examples.
Rather than emphasize a particular discipline such as oceanography or meteorology, it presents the mathematical framework and derivations in a way which is common for any discipline where dynamics is merged with measurements. The mathematics level is modest, although it requires knowledge of basic spatial statistics, Bayesian statistics, and calculus of variations. Readers will also appreciate the introduction to the mathematical methods used and detailed derivations, which should be easy to follow, are given throughout the book. The codes used in several of the data assimilation experiments are available on a web page. In particular, this webpage contains a complete ensemble Kalman filter assimilation system, which forms an ideal starting point for a user who wants to implement the ensemble Kalman filter with his/her own dynamical model.
The focus on ensemble methods, such as the ensemble Kalman filter and smoother, also makes it a solid reference to the derivation, implementation and application of such techniques. Much new material, in particular related to the formulation and solution of combined parameter and state estimation problems and the general properties of the ensemble algorithms, is available here for the first time.
The 2nd edition includes a partial rewrite of Chapters 13 an 14, and the Appendix. In addition, there is a completely new Chapter on "Spurious correlations, localization and inflation", and an updated and improved sampling discussion in Chap 11.
Industry Reviews
| List of symbols | p. xvii |
| Introduction | p. 1 |
| Statistical definitions | p. 5 |
| Probability density function | p. 5 |
| Statistical moments | p. 8 |
| Expected value | p. 8 |
| Variance | p. 8 |
| Covariance | p. 9 |
| Working with samples from a distribution | p. 9 |
| Sample mean | p. 9 |
| Sample variance | p. 10 |
| Sample covariance | p. 10 |
| Statistics of random fields | p. 10 |
| Sample mean | p. 10 |
| Sample variance | p. 10 |
| Sample covariance | p. 11 |
| Correlation | p. 11 |
| Bias | p. 11 |
| Central limit theorem | p. 12 |
| Analysis scheme | p. 13 |
| Scalar case | p. 13 |
| State-space formulation | p. 13 |
| Bayesian formulation | p. 15 |
| Extension to spatial dimensions | p. 16 |
| Basic formulation | p. 16 |
| Euler-Lagrange equation | p. 17 |
| Representer solution | p. 19 |
| Representer matrix | p. 20 |
| Error estimate | p. 20 |
| Uniqueness of the solution | p. 21 |
| Minimization of the penalty function | p. 23 |
| Prior and posterior value of the penalty function | p. 24 |
| Discrete form | p. 24 |
| Sequential data assimilation | p. 27 |
| Linear Dynamics | p. 27 |
| Kalman filter for a scalar case | p. 28 |
| Kalman filter for a vector state | p. 29 |
| Kalman filter with a linear advection equation | p. 29 |
| Nonlinear dynamics | p. 32 |
| Extended Kalman filter for the scalar case | p. 32 |
| Extended Kalman filter in matrix form | p. 33 |
| Example using the extended Kalman filter | p. 35 |
| Extended Kalman filter for the mean | p. 36 |
| Discussion | p. 37 |
| Ensemble Kalman filter | p. 38 |
| Representation of error statistics | p. 38 |
| Prediction of error statistics | p. 39 |
| Analysis scheme | p. 41 |
| Discussion | p. 43 |
| Example with a QG model | p. 44 |
| Variational inverse problems | p. 47 |
| Simple illustration | p. 47 |
| Linear inverse problem | p. 50 |
| Model and observations | p. 50 |
| Measurement functional | p. 51 |
| Comment on the measurement equation | p. 51 |
| Statistical hypothesis | p. 52 |
| Weak constraint variational formulation | p. 52 |
| Extremum of the penalty function | p. 53 |
| Euler-Lagrange equations | p. 53 |
| Strong constraint approximation | p. 55 |
| Solution by representer expansions | p. 55 |
| Representer method with an Ekman model | p. 57 |
| Inverse problem | p. 57 |
| Variational formulation | p. 58 |
| Euler-Lagrange equations | p. 59 |
| Representer solution | p. 60 |
| Example experiment | p. 60 |
| Assimilation of real measurements | p. 64 |
| Comments on the representer method | p. 67 |
| Nonlinear variational inverse problems | p. 71 |
| Extension to nonlinear dynamics | p. 71 |
| Generalized inverse for the Lorenz equations | p. 72 |
| Strong constraint assumption | p. 73 |
| Solution of the weak constraint problem | p. 76 |
| Minimization by the gradient descent method | p. 77 |
| Minimization by genetic algorithms | p. 78 |
| Example with the Lorenz equations | p. 82 |
| Estimating the model error covariance | p. 82 |
| Time correlation of the model error covariance | p. 83 |
| Inversion experiments | p. 84 |
| Discussion | p. 92 |
| Probabilistic formulation | p. 95 |
| Joint parameter and state estimation | p. 95 |
| Model equations and measurements | p. 96 |
| Bayesian formulation | p. 97 |
| Discrete formulation | p. 98 |
| Sequential processing of measurements | p. 99 |
| Summary | p. 101 |
| Generalized Inverse | p. 103 |
| Generalized inverse formulation | p. 103 |
| Prior density for the poorly known parameters | p. 103 |
| Prior density for the initial conditions | p. 104 |
| Prior density for the boundary conditions | p. 104 |
| Prior density for the measurements | p. 105 |
| Prior density for the model errors | p. 105 |
| Conditional joint density | p. 107 |
| Solution methods for the generalized inverse problem | p. 108 |
| Generalized inverse for a scalar model | p. 108 |
| Euler-Lagrange equations | p. 109 |
| Iteration in ¿ | p. 1ll |
| Strong constraint problem | p. 1ll |
| Parameter estimation in the Ekman flow model | p. 113 |
| Summary | p. 117 |
| Ensemble methods | p. 119 |
| Introductory remarks | p. 119 |
| Linear ensemble analysis update | p. 121 |
| Ensemble representation of error statistics | p. 122 |
| Ensemble representation for measurements | p. 124 |
| Ensemble Smoother (ES) | p. 124 |
| Ensemble Kalman Smoother (EnKS) | p. 126 |
| Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) | p. 129 |
| EnKF with linear noise free model | p. 129 |
| EnKS using EnKF as a prior | p. 130 |
| Example with the Lorenz equations | p. 131 |
| Description of experiments | p. 131 |
| Assimilation Experiment | p. 132 |
| Discussion | p. 137 |
| Statistical optimization | p. 139 |
| Definition of the minimization problem | p. 139 |
| Parameters | p. 140 |
| Model | p. 140 |
| Measurements | p. 140 |
| Cost function | p. 141 |
| Bayesian formalism | p. 141 |
| Solution by ensemble methods | p. 142 |
| Variance minimizing solution | p. 144 |
| EnKS solution | p. 144 |
| Examples | p. 145 |
| Discussion | p. 154 |
| Sampling strategies for the EnKF | p. 157 |
| Introduction | p. 157 |
| Simulation of realizations | p. 158 |
| Inverse Fourier transform | p. 159 |
| Definition of Fourier spectrum | p. 159 |
| Specification of covariance and variance | p. 160 |
| Simulating correlated fields | p. 162 |
| Improved sampling scheme | p. 163 |
| Theoretical foundation | p. 164 |
| Improved sampling algorithm | p. 165 |
| Properties of the improved sampling | p. 166 |
| Model and measurement noise | p. 168 |
| Generation of a random orthogonal matrix | p. 169 |
| Experiments | p. 169 |
| Overview of experiments | p. 170 |
| Impact from ensemble size | p. 172 |
| Impact of improved sampling for the initial ensemble | p. 173 |
| Improved sampling of measurement perturbations | p. 174 |
| Evolution of ensemble singular spectra | p. 175 |
| Summary | p. 176 |
| Model errors | p. 177 |
| Simulation of model errors | p. 177 |
| Determination of ¿ | p. 177 |
| Physical model | p. 178 |
| Variance growth due to the stochastic forcing | p. 178 |
| Updating model noise using measurements | p. 182 |
| Scalar model | p. 182 |
| Variational inverse problem | p. 183 |
| Prior statistics | p. 183 |
| Penalty function | p. 184 |
| Euler-Lagrange equations | p. 184 |
| Iteration of parameter | p. 185 |
| Solution by representer expansions | p. 185 |
| Variance growth due to model errors | p. 186 |
| Formulation as a stochastic model | p. 187 |
| Examples | p. 187 |
| Case A0 | p. 188 |
| Case A1 | p. 191 |
| Case B | p. 191 |
| Case C | p. 194 |
| Discussion | p. 195 |
| Square Root Analysis schemes | p. 197 |
| Square root algorithm for the EnKF analysis | p. 197 |
| Updating the ensemble mean | p. 198 |
| Updating the ensemble perturbations | p. 198 |
| Properties of the square root scheme | p. 200 |
| Final update equation | p. 203 |
| Analysis update using a single measurement | p. 204 |
| Analysis update using a diagonal C&epis;&epis; | p. 205 |
| Experiments | p. 205 |
| Overview of experiments | p. 206 |
| Impact of the square root analysis algorithm | p. 207 |
| Rank issues | p. 211 |
| Pseudo inverse of C | p. 211 |
| Pseudo inverse | p. 212 |
| Interpretation | p. 213 |
| Analysis schemes using the pseudo inverse of C | p. 213 |
| Example | p. 214 |
| Efficient subspace pseudo inversion | p. 216 |
| Derivation of the subspace pseudo inverse | p. 217 |
| Analysis schemes based on the subspace pseudo inverse | p. 220 |
| An interpretation of the subspace pseudo inversion | p. 221 |
| Subspace inversion using a low-rank C&epis; | p. 222 |
| Derivation of the pseudo inverse | p. 223 |
| Analysis schemes using a low-rank C&epis;&epis; | p. 224 |
| Implementation of the analysis schemes | p. 225 |
| Rank issues related to the use of a low-rank C&epis;&epis; | p. 226 |
| Experiments with ¿ >> ¿ | p. 228 |
| Validity of analysis equation | p. 233 |
| Summary | p. 235 |
| Spurious correlations, localization, and inflation | p. 237 |
| Spurious correlations | p. 237 |
| Inflation | p. 239 |
| An adaptive covariance inflation method | p. 240 |
| Localization | p. 241 |
| Adaptive localization methods | p. 242 |
| A localization and inflation example | p. 243 |
| An ocean prediction system | p. 255 |
| Introduction | p. 255 |
| System configuration and EnKF implementation | p. 256 |
| Nested regional models | p. 259 |
| Summary | p. 260 |
| Estimation in an oil reservoir simulator | p. 263 |
| Introduction | p. 263 |
| Experiment | p. 265 |
| Parameterization | p. 266 |
| State vector | p. 267 |
| Results | p. 269 |
| Summary | p. 272 |
| Other EnKF issues | p. 273 |
| Nonlinear measurements in the EnKF | p. 273 |
| Assimilation of non-synoptic measurements | p. 275 |
| Time difference data | p. 276 |
| Ensemble Optimal Interpolation (EnOI) | p. 277 |
| Crononogical listing of EnKF publications | p. 279 |
| Applications of the EnKF | p. 279 |
| Other ensemble based filters | p. 290 |
| Ensemble smoothers | p. 290 |
| Ensemble methods for parameter estimation | p. 291 |
| Nonlinear filters and smoothers | p. 291 |
| References | p. 293 |
| Index | p. 305 |
| Table of Contents provided by Ingram. All Rights Reserved. |
ISBN: 9783642037108
ISBN-10: 3642037100
Published: 27th August 2009
Format: Hardcover
Language: English
Number of Pages: 332
Audience: Professional and Scholarly
Publisher: Springer Nature B.V.
Country of Publication: GB
Edition Number: 2
Edition Type: Revised
Dimensions (cm): 24.77 x 15.88 x 2.54
Weight (kg): 0.73
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