Applied Bayesian Forecasting and Time Series Analysis

By: Andy Pole, Mike West, Jeff Harrison

Write A Review

Hardcover | 1 September 1994 | Edition Number 1

At a Glance

Hardcover
430 Pages

Dimensions(cm)
23.4 x 15.6 x 2.39

Hardcover

RRP $399.00

$341.75

14%OFF

or 4 interest-free payments of $85.44 with

or

Ships in 3 to 5 business days

Practical in its approach, Applied Bayesian Forecasting and Time Series Analysis provides the theories, methods, and tools necessary for forecasting and the analysis of time series. The authors unify the concepts, model forms, and modeling requirements within the framework of the dynamic linear mode (DLM). They include a complete theoretical development of the DLM and illustrate each step with analysis of time series data. Using real data sets the authors:
Explore diverse aspects of time series, including how to identify, structure, explain observed behavior, model structures and behaviors, and interpret analyses to make informed forecasts
Illustrate concepts such as component decomposition, fundamental model forms including trends and cycles, and practical modeling requirements for routine change and unusual events
Conduct all analyses in the BATS computer programs, furnishing online that program and the more than 50 data sets used in the text
The result is a clear presentation of the Bayesian paradigm: quantified subjective judgements derived from selected models applied to time series observations. Accessible to undergraduates, this unique volume also offers complete guidelines valuable to researchers, practitioners, and advanced students in statistics, operations research, and engineering.

Industry Reviews

"This book has filled a significant gap in the market for statistical texts. It should move Bayesian techniques for time series analysis and forecasting into the standard repertoire of applied statisticians. I think that it is an excellent book, and recommend it, especially to those who are not already familiar with these ideas." -The Statistician

Shipping

	Standard Shipping	Express Shipping
Metro postcodes:	$9.99	$14.95
Regional postcodes:	$9.99	$14.95
Rural postcodes:	$9.99	$14.95

Orders over $49.00 qualify for free shipping.

How to return your order

At Booktopia, we offer hassle-free returns in accordance with our returns policy. If you wish to return an item, please get in touch with Booktopia Customer Care.

Additional postage charges may be applicable.