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Afghanistan : to 2015 and Beyond - Toby Dodge

Afghanistan

to 2015 and Beyond

By: Toby Dodge (Editor), Nicholas Redman (Editor)

Paperback | 20 December 2011 | Edition Number 1

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From July 2011 to the end of 2014, the United States and NATO are committed to handing over full responsibility for the security, governance and economic development of Afghanistan to the Afghan government. This will bring to an end the thirteen year struggle by the U.S. and the international community to stabilise the country and rebuild the state after invasion and regime change in 2001. This edited Adelphi brings together the global expertise of the International Institute for Strategic Studies to examine what the political, military and economic future of Afghanistan will be after the international community drastically reduces its presence in the run up to 2014. Individual chapters examine both the domestic political and strategic dynamics that will shape Afghanistan "s future and the major regional powers interactions with the country "s government and society. Three chapters will be devoted to domestic Afghan issues. The first will examine the capacity and future development of the Afghan security forces, both the army and police force, running up to and after 2014. The second chapter will focus on Afghan politics and state capacity with the third chapter looking at the likely evolution of al Qaeda and political violence. Regionally, chapters are devoted to Pakistan "s policy towards Kabul as well as China, India, Russia and the Gulf states. Each chapter will examine the state interests that shape policy and how those interests are likely to be pursued over the next decade. The final chapter will look at the future direction of U.S. Afghan policy.
Industry Reviews

"This penetrating analysis, succinctly written with a total grasp of the complexity of the problems, provides the most forward-looking analysis available anywhere. Addressing Afghanistan's ties to Pakistan, India, Iran and Central Asia, it shows how the region will affect Afghanistan's future and how Afghanistan will affect the region."- Ahmed Rashid, author of Taliban and Descent into Chaos: The United States and the Failure of Nation Building in Pakistan, Afghanistan, and Central Asia

"An invaluable work of sober, informed analysis. Each chapter lays out the facts without bias, guiding the reader through the enormous complexity of Afghanistan past and present. Most importantly, the regional dynamic receives thorough treatment."- Jason Burke, author of Al-Qaeda: the True Story of Radical Islam and The 9/11 Wars, and South Asia correspondent for the Guardian and the Observer

"For those of us who care about the importance of Afghanistan and worry about its future and thus for our own safety, this book makes fascinating and essential reading. It illuminates the issues with great thoroughness and, against the prevailing gloom, dares to make the case for conditional optimism."- Lord Robertson, former Secretary-General of NATO and former UK Secretary of Defence

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