The Long Cycle

How to Read the AI Era in the Oldest Patterns of Progress

By: PETR

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eBook | 17 June 2026

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In January 2026, Ray Dalio called the AI moment a bubble, at 80% of dot-com euphoria. Months earlier, Google's CEO said no firm would escape unscathed if it burst. Most of us still don't know whether to bet on AI, bet against it, or wait. Most of us are asking the wrong question. The Long Cycle reads the present from within the cycle, through Carlota Perez's surge model, Ray Dalio's Big Cycle, and Schumpeter's creative destruction, stacked into a single lens a founder can actually decide from. Where we sit. What comes next. What to build. What to refuse. The book is short. The lens it gives you is long. You will read the news differently afterward.