| Preface | p. xiii |
| Introduction | p. 1 |
| Water Resources Management | p. 2 |
| Planning and Design of Water Resources Systems | p. 3 |
| Water Resources Systems Analysis | p. 3 |
| Why Build Dams? | p. 4 |
| The Need for Flow Regulation Systems | p. 5 |
| Balancing Water Supply with Water Demands | p. 5 |
| The Water Balance of Reservoirs as a Tool in Reservoir Design and Management | p. 8 |
| Regional Imbalance Between Water Supply and Water Demand: Transboundary River Management Issues | p. 10 |
| Impact of Reservoir Projects on the Temporal and Spatial Variation of Streamflow Quantity and Quality | p. 11 |
| Environmental Impact Issues Associated with Dam and Reservoir Projects | p. 11 |
| Using Storage Reservoirs in Flow Regulation and Water Management Schemes | p. 13 |
| The Hydrology of Flow Regulation | p. 15 |
| Flow Allocations | p. 15 |
| Hydrological Problems Resulting from Water Deficiency | p. 16 |
| Hydrological Problems Caused by Water Excess | p. 17 |
| Types of Flow Regulation | p. 19 |
| Daily Flow Regulation | p. 19 |
| Weekly Flow Regulation | p. 20 |
| Seasonal or Annual Flow Regulation | p. 22 |
| Multiannual Flow Regulation | p. 22 |
| Optimizing Flow Regulation Schemes | p. 25 |
| General Characteristics of Flow Regulation Systems | p. 25 |
| Planning for Dams and Reservoirs: Hydrologic Design Elements and Operational Characteristics of Storage Reservoirs | p. 29 |
| The Reservoir Design Problem | p. 30 |
| Reservoir-Site Selection | p. 31 |
| The Case for Multipurpose Reservoirs | p. 32 |
| Multireservoir System Layout and Analyses | p. 33 |
| Hydrological Basis for the Determination of Reservoir Storage Capacity | p. 35 |
| A Model of Capacity Allocation and Survey of Water Demands in Multipurpose Reservoirs | p. 37 |
| Estimating the Active Storage Necessary for Flow Regulation and Water Supply | p. 40 |
| Hydroelectric Power Potential of Storage Reservoirs | p. 41 |
| Storage-Space for Flood Mitigation: The Reservoir Flood Storage Capacity Design | p. 41 |
| Siltation of Reservoirs and Sediment Reserve Storage | p. 44 |
| Adjustment of Storage Estimates for Net Evaporation Losses | p. 48 |
| Other Secondary Factors Affecting Reservoir Size-Selection | p. 51 |
| Hydrologic Data Requirements and Analyses | p. 53 |
| Selecting a Distribution for Use in the Hydrologic Design Process | p. 54 |
| Bayesian Techniques for Parameter Estimation with Limited Data | p. 55 |
| Design of Reservoir Storage for Stochastically Varying Water Demand | p. 57 |
| Deterministic vs. Stochastic Methods in the Reservoir Design Problem | p. 57 |
| Deterministic Methods and Models in Reservoir Design | p. 58 |
| Stochastic Problems in the Design of Reservoirs | p. 58 |
| Guidelines for the Hydrological Dimensioning of Reservoirs | p. 59 |
| Principles and Concepts in the Hydrologic Design and Operation of Storage Reservoirs | p. 61 |
| Utilization of Reliability-Based Techniques in the Hydrologic Design Process | p. 61 |
| The Concept of Reservoir Efficiency Functions | p. 62 |
| The Efficiency Function as a Basis for Storage Determination | p. 65 |
| General Types of Reliability Parameters vs. Reservoir Efficiency Functions | p. 68 |
| Storage Allocation in Multipurpose Reservoirs | p. 71 |
| Topographical Characteristic of the Reservoir | p. 72 |
| Modeling Methodology for the Systems Simulation of Reservoir Design Problems | p. 75 |
| A Flood Storage Submodel | p. 80 |
| Optimal Release Policies in the Operation of Multipurpose Reservoirs | p. 81 |
| Stochastic Approach to Establishing an Optimal Release Policy | p. 82 |
| The Value of Hydrologic Information in the Management of Reservoirs | p. 83 |
| Systems Approach in the Hydrologic Design and Operation of Storage Reservoirs | p. 85 |
| Hydrologic Models in Water Resource Systems | p. 85 |
| Time Series Models in Hydrologic Modeling | p. 88 |
| Modeling Techniques | p. 89 |
| Design of Reservoir Storage-Capacity with Inadequate Hydrologic Data | p. 90 |
| The Need for Synthetic Data: Stochastic Generation of Synthetic Data and Flow Generation Strategies | p. 91 |
| Multivariate Stochastic Models | p. 92 |
| Evolution and Philosophy of Stochastic Simulation in Reservoir Systems Modeling and Design | p. 93 |
| Deterministic-Stochastic Hybrid Models | p. 95 |
| Risk and Uncertainty in Reservoir Design | p. 95 |
| Model Verification and Performance | p. 96 |
| Reservoir Performance Reliability | p. 97 |
| Uncertainty Assessment via Sensitivity Analysis | p. 99 |
| The Hydro-Economics of Reservoir Design | p. 100 |
| Economic Concepts in Reservoir Planning | p. 100 |
| Benefit-Cost and Cost-Effectiveness Analyses versus Optimal Design from Marginal Analysis | p. 101 |
| Optimization Techniques as a Design Tool for Water Resource Systems | p. 102 |
| The Optimization Problem | p. 102 |
| Solution Techniques for the Optimization Problem | p. 103 |
| Multiobjective Optimization in Reservoir Design | p. 104 |
| The Net-Benefit Function Under Optimality Conditions | p. 105 |
| Optimization Under Uncertainty and Risk | p. 106 |
| Hydrologic Analysis of Flood Flows | p. 109 |
| Design Flood Determination | p. 109 |
| The Selection of an Acceptable Risk Level | p. 110 |
| The Calculation of the Risk of Overtopping | p. 111 |
| Hydro-Economic Impact Analysis | p. 112 |
| Modeling the Flood Flows | p. 113 |
| The Probability of Occurrence of Flood Flows | p. 115 |
| Estimation of the Probability Distribution Function of the Maximum Flood Flows for Large Rivers | p. 116 |
| Estimation of the Probability Distribution Function of the Maximum Flood Flows for Small Rivers | p. 118 |
| Estimation of the Probability Distribution Function of Maximum Floods in the Case of Medium-sized Rivers | p. 120 |
| Estimation of Flood Flows Using Limited Data | p. 122 |
| Estimation of Flood Attenuation by Reservoirs | p. 122 |
| Methods of Approach for Designing Optimal Storage Capacities and Operational Strategies for Multireservoir Systems | p. 125 |
| A Review and Classification of Reservoir Capacity-Yield Estimation Procedures | p. 125 |
| Critical Period Techniques | p. 126 |
| Reservoir Capacity-Yield Estimation by Mass-curve Procedure | p. 127 |
| Probability Matrix Methods | p. 129 |
| Basic Principles of Reservoir Sizing Using Probabilistic Methods | p. 130 |
| Reservoir Storage Requirements from Stochastic Data | p. 131 |
| Basic Elements of Stocahstically-Generated Data | p. 132 |
| Choosing Between Deterministic vs. Probabilistic vs. Simulation Methods | p. 137 |
| Determination of the Optimal Reservoir Storage Capacity and Operational Parameters for a River Dam | p. 139 |
| Screening Models for Multireservoir Systems Design | p. 140 |
| A Cost-Efficient Reservoir Capacity Design in Multireservoir Systems | p. 141 |
| Reservoir Network Analyses for Model Development | p. 142 |
| Formulation of the Reservoir Model and Modeling Methodology | p. 146 |
| Using Monte Carlo Techniques in the Optimal Design of Reservoir Systems | p. 151 |
| A Multisite Multiseason Flow Generation Strategy | p. 151 |
| The Multivariate Autoregressive AR(1) Model for the Multisite Annual Generation Scheme | p. 152 |
| The Disaggregation of Annual Streamflow Data | p. 156 |
| Implementation of the Flow Generation Algorithm | p. 157 |
| Storage-Capacity Allocation to Reservoir Sites | p. 157 |
| Determination of the Reservoir Sizing Factors | p. 158 |
| Incorporating a Reliability Measure | p. 159 |
| Matrix of 'Disaggregated' Water Demands | p. 160 |
| Matrix of Storage Volumes | p. 162 |
| Cost-Efficient Capacity Allocations in the Design of Multireservoir Systems | p. 163 |
| An Optimal Solution for the Multireservoir System Design | p. 165 |
| The Overall Model Implementation Process | p. 166 |
| Optimal Storage Capacity Decisions for Multireservoir Systems | p. 167 |
| Hydrological Sizing of Reservoirs for Flood Protection | p. 169 |
| Determination of the Characteristic Hydrograph | p. 169 |
| Spillway and Sluice Gate Considerations in the Design and Operation of Flood Retention Reservoirs | p. 170 |
| The Case for a Regulated Sluice | p. 171 |
| The Case for a Closed Sluice | p. 174 |
| The Case for an Opened Sluice | p. 174 |
| Comparison of the Dimensioning Methods | p. 177 |
| Approximate Evaluation of the Efficiency Function | p. 179 |
| Emergency Flood Storage | p. 182 |
| Impacts of Emergency Storage in the River System | p. 183 |
| Design and Operation of an Emergency Flood Control Program | p. 184 |
| Application of the Moran Model in Reservoir Storage Design | p. 187 |
| The Moran Model | p. 187 |
| A Proposed Mathematical Model | p. 190 |
| Determination of the Transition Probabilities | p. 192 |
| Model Application - An Example | p. 201 |
| A Probabilistic Model for the Determination of the Reservoir Efficiency Function | p. 204 |
| The Basic Hypotheses | p. 204 |
| The Basic Relationships | p. 205 |
| Determination of the Transition Probability Matrix | p. 206 |
| Determination of the 'Behavior Function' | p. 207 |
| Concluding Remarks | p. 208 |
| List of References and Bibliography | p. 209 |
| Literature Cited | p. 209 |
| Additional Suggested Literature | p. 217 |
| Index | p. 221 |
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