Theory of Moves

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Paperback | 16 May 1994

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264 Pages

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22.86 x 15.24 x 1.52

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Steven J. Brams' Theory of Moves, though based on the classical theory of games, proposes changes in its rules to render it a truly dynamic theory. By postulating that players think ahead not just to the immediate consequences of making moves, but also to the consequences of countermoves to these moves, counter-countermoves, and so on, it extends the strategic analysis of conflicts into the more distant future. It elucidates the role that different kinds of power - moving, order and threat - may have on conflict outcomes, and it also shows how misinformation affects player choices. Applied to a series of cases drawn from politics, economics, sociology, fiction and the Bible, the theory provides not only a parsimonious explanation of their outcomes, but also shows why they unfolded as they did. This book, which assumes no prior knowledge of game theory or special mathematical background, will be of interest to scholars and students throughout the social sciences.

Industry Reviews

' ... should provide interesting reading to those who favour the direct interplay between the method and its applications ... contributes to an important debate on the current directions of the game theory research program, especially in its extension to political science and international relations.' Public Choice

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You Can Find This Book In

Non-Fiction Mathematics Optimisation Game Theory Politics & Government Political Science & Theory International Relations Applied Mathematics

List of figures	p. xi
Acknowledgments	p. xii
Introduction	p. 1
Overview	p. 1
Why a new dynamic theory?	p. 6
Rules of play: the starting point matters	p. 19
Introduction	p. 19
Applying the standard theory	p. 21
Rules of play of TOM	p. 23
Rationality rules and backward induction	p. 27
Interpreting TOM: Samson and Delilah	p. 34
Feasible and infeasible moves	p. 40
The anticipation problem: there may be no resolution	p. 43
Introduction	p. 43
Three different election games	p. 45
Anticipation games	p. 53
The pursuit of the Israelites	p. 57
The anticipation problem in literature	p. 60
Magnanimity: it sometimes pays	p. 67
Introduction	p. 67
Self-restraint by a victim in muggings	p. 70
Different views on the rationality of magnanimity	p. 73
The Magnanimity Game (MG)	p. 75
Applications of MG to historical cases	p. 79
When is sacrifice rational?	p. 83
Moving power: breaking the cycle	p. 85
Introduction	p. 85
Cyclic games and rule 5'	p. 88
Moving power	p. 94
The Revelation Game	p. 102
Bombing campaigns in Vietnam	p. 110
The effects of reputation	p. 117
Order and threat power: eliminating indeterminacy and communicating intentions	p. 121
Introduction	p. 121
The interplay of different kinds of power	p. 124
Prisoners' Dilemma and Chicken	p. 127
The Cuban missile crisis: moving and order power	p. 130
Threat power	p. 138
The use of threat power in Poland, 1980-1	p. 148
Varieties of power	p. 154
Information in games: misperception, deception, and omniscience	p. 157
Introduction	p. 157
Was the Civil War a result of incomplete information?	p. 159
Incomplete information in the Magnanimity Game (MG)	p. 163
Misperception in the Iran hostage crisis	p. 165
Deception in the Cuban missile crisis	p. 170
Information revelation in Hamlet	p. 174
The paradox of omniscience	p. 178
Incomplete information in larger games: a model of negotiations	p. 183
Introduction	p. 183
A negotiation game with a tie-breaker	p. 187
The tie-breaker removed	p. 190
Interpretation of the rules	p. 193
Intransigence versus size: which is more helpful?	p. 195
Negotiations on world trade	p. 199
Intransigence in negotiations	p. 204
Summary and conclusions	p. 207
Appendix	p. 215
Glossary	p. 220
Bibliography	p. 229
Index	p. 241
Table of Contents provided by Syndetics. All Rights Reserved.

Theory of Moves

At a Glance

Paperback

Industry Reviews

Shipping

How to return your order

Defective items

You Can Find This Book In

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