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From the financial crisis to ecological disasters, we routinely fail to foresee hugely significant events, often at great cost to society. The rise of 'big data' has the potential to help us predict the future, yet much of it is misleading and useless.
Nate Silver accurately predicted the results of every state in the 2012 US election, cementing his reputation as one of our most prophetic forecasters. Here he takes us on an enthralling insider's tour of the high-stakes world of prediction, showing how we can all learn to detect the true signals amid the noise of data.
About the Author
Nate Silver is a statistician and political forecaster at The New York Times. In 2012, he correctly predicted the outcome of 50 out of 50 states during the US presidential election, trumping the professional pollsters and pundits. He was named one of TIME's 100 Most Influential People in the world, and one of Rolling Stones' top Agents of Change. He lives in Brooklyn, New York.
Outstanding... I was hooked -- Tim Harford * Financial Times * One of the more momentous books of the decade * The New York Times Book Review * A lucid explanation of how to think probabilistically * Guardian * The inhabitants of Westminster are speed-reading The Signal and the Noise... They will find the book remarkable and rewarding * Sunday Telegraph * Is there anything now that Nate Silver could tell us that we wouldn't believe? * Jonathan Freedland * Fascinating... our age's Brunel -- Bryan Appleyard * Sunday Times * A surprisingly accessible peek into the world of mathematical probability -- Daily Telegraph The Galileo of number crunchers * Independent * A 34-year old Delphic Oracle * Daily Beast *
ISBN: 9780141975658 ISBN-10: 0141975652 Audience:
Number Of Pages: 544 Published: 24th April 2013 Publisher: Penguin Books Ltd Country of Publication: GB Dimensions (cm): 19.6 x 13.0
Weight (kg): 0.37
Edition Number: 1