List of Figures
List of Tables
List of Contributors
01. Introduction
Laetitia Lenel/ Jochen Streb/ Alexander N¼tzenadel/Ingo K¶hler
PART I Approaches and Debates
02. The Rise of the Rational Expectations Hypothesis
Pedro Garcia Duarte
03. A Short History in Defense of Adaptive Learning
Stefano Eusepi/Bruce Preston
04. Bounded Rationality, Beliefs, and Behavior
Sebastian Schweighofer-Kodritsch
05. Narratives, Representations, and Expectations
David Tuckett
06. Heterogeneous Expectations among Professional Forecasters
Christian Conrad/Kajal Lahiri
07. Subjective Inflation Expectations of Households: How they are Formed and their Role in Economic Choices
Michael Weber/Francesco DâAcunto
08. Contingent Expectations
Alexander N¼tzenadel/Jochen Streb
09. From Data to Expectations in Macroeconomics
J¶rg D¶pke/Ulrich Fritsche
10. On FIRE, News, and Expectations
Zeno Enders/Benjamin Born/ Gernot M¼ller
11. Economic Expectations and an AI Agent
Ekaterina Svetlova
PART II Practices and Determinants of Expectation Management and Coordination
12. Central Bank Communication with the General Public
Lena Dr¤ger
13. Narratives and the Media
Henrik M¼ller
14. Civil Jurisdiction and Regulation
Louis Pahlow
15. Beyond Expectations. Consultants as the Modern- Day Oracle
Matthias Kipping/Sebastian Sch¶ttler
16. Economic Forecasting
Laetitia Lenel/Werner Reichmann
17. Market Research as a Strategy of Corporate Expectation Management
Ingo K¶hler/Jan Logemann
18. Public Numbers: the Politics of Quantification and Relational Expectations
Tiago Mata
PART III Expectation Formation Across Time and Space
19. Cultures of Uncertainty and Economic Expectations
Eelke de Jong
20. Expectation Formation in Pre-Modern Europe
Angela Huang/Mark Spoerer
21. Uncertainty and Innovation: New Perspectives from Nineteenth-Century Patenting Behavior
Laura Magazzini/Alessandro Nuvolari/Michelangelo Vasta
22. Expectations in the History of Consumption, c.1500 to the Present
Frank Trentmann
23. Saving Behavior in the Nineteenth and Twentieth Centuries
Jan-Otmar Hesse/Sebastian Knake/Sibylle Lehmann-Hasemeyer
24. Demographic Decision-Making Under Uncertainty
Timothy Guinnane/Jochen Streb
25. Entrepreneurial Expectations in Colonial and Postcolonial Contexts
Marie Huber/Nina Klein¶der/Jonathan Krautter
26. African Entrepreneurs and the Economic Expectation Question: A Transhistorical Survey
Moses Ochonu
PART IV Expectation Formation in Times of Crisis
27. An Unexpected Crisis of Expectations
Mary OâSullivan
28. Expectation Formation in (Potential) Sovereign Debt Crises
Laura Rischbieter
29. Monetary Shocks. Business Expectations at the Beginning and End of Two Gold-Based Currency Regimes in the 1870s and 1970s
Jan-Otmar Hesse/Sebastian Teupe
30. Sovereign Expectations: Theory and History in the Financial Shocks and Crises of the 1970s and 1980s
Sebastian Alvarez and Catherine Schenk
31. Government-Made House Price Bubbles? Austerity, Homeownership, Rental and Credit Liberalization Policies, and âIrrational Exuberanceâ on Housing Markets
Konstantin A. Kholodilin/Sebastian Kohl/Florian M¼ller
32. The Politics of Expectations in Local Government: (De-)Financialization Processes in the US and Germany
Florian Fastenrath/Agnes Janssen/ Christine Trampusch
33. Expectation Formation in the Coronavirus Pandemic
Jonas Dovern/Fabian Kr¼ger
Index