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The Politics of Miscalculation in the Middle East : Indiana Series in Arab and Islamic Studies (Paperback) - Richard B. Parker

The Politics of Miscalculation in the Middle East

Indiana Series in Arab and Islamic Studies (Paperback)

Paperback Published: 22nd September 1993
ISBN: 9780253207814
Number Of Pages: 292

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Why do international crises seem to occur so often in the Middle East? Former U.S. diplomat Richard B. Parker presents three detailed studies of policy failures that he believes were precipitated by miscalculations on the part of diplomats and of government and military leaders in one or more Middle Eastern countries, the United States, and the former USSR. They are the Soviet-Egyptian miscalculation leading to the June 1967 war between Israel and the Arab states, the U.S.-Israeli miscalculation leading to Soviet military intervention in Egypt in 1970, and the U.S.-Israeli miscalculation leading to the disastrous Lebanese-Israeli peace agreement of May 17, 1983.

Parker's many-sided, often gripping account of the way in which these crises unfolded illustrates how the same events can be viewed very differently by the observers and actors involved, and how political decisions can precipitate reactions that are often very different from those anticipated. Although the book highlights the unavoidably uncertain and contingent element in all diplomatic activity, it also shows that careful attention to history, to past performance, and to prevailing mindsets in the countries involved can be invaluable aids in diplomatic crisis management. The many sources assembled and the careful weighing of their accuracy and reliability, along with the combined perspective of the practitioner and the scholar, make this book an important resource for diplomats, policymakers, and students of diplomacy.

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Acknowledgmentsp. vii
Introductionp. ix
The June Warp. 1
The Soviet Warningp. 3
Moscow's Explanationsp. 21
The Egyptian Reactionp. 36
From Deterrence to Disasterp. 59
The American Rolep. 99
The War of Attritionp. 123
War and Nonwarp. 125
Misjudgment on the Nilep. 148
The Israel-Lebanon Peace Agreement of 1983p. 165
The Israeli Invasion of 1982p. 167
The Negotiationsp. 179
The Final Reckoningp. 193
Conclusionp. 212
Appendixp. 224
Notesp. 247
Annotated Bibliographyp. 263
Indexp. 270
Table of Contents provided by Publisher. All Rights Reserved.

ISBN: 9780253207814
ISBN-10: 0253207819
Series: Indiana Series in Arab and Islamic Studies (Paperback)
Audience: General
Format: Paperback
Language: English
Number Of Pages: 292
Published: 22nd September 1993
Country of Publication: US
Dimensions (cm): 23.39 x 15.62  x 2.01
Weight (kg): 0.45