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The Logic of Decision - Richard C. Jeffrey

The Logic of Decision

Paperback Published: 1st January 1983
ISBN: 9780226395821
Number Of Pages: 248

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" This book] proposes new foundations for the Bayesian principle of rational action, and goes on to develop a new logic of desirability and probabtility."--Frederic Schick, "Journal of Philosophy"

Preface
Deliberation: A Bayesian Framework
Acts, Conditions, Consequences
Desirabilities and Probabilities
Summary and Rationale
Incompletely Specified Desirabilities
Dominance, and a Fallacy
Problems
Ratifiability
Notes and References
Equivalent Scales
Equivalent Desirability Matrices
Conventions about Probabilities
A General Desirability Transformation
A Special Desirability Transformation
Problems
Ramsey's Theory
From Desirabilities to Probabilities
From Probabilities to Desirabilities
The von Neumann-Morgenstern Method
Ethical Neutrality; Probability 1/2
Calibrating the Desirability Scale
Measuring Probabilities
Conclusion
Problems
Notes and References
Propositional Attitudes
Belief and Desire
Justifying the Special Addition Law
Remarks on Fairness
Desirability
Sentences and Propositions
Notation
Belief versus Assent
Problems
References and Solutions
Preference
Computing Probabilities
The PropositionsTandF
A Remark on Computing Probabilities
Computing Desirabilities
The Probability and Desirability Axioms
"Good," "Bad," "Indifferent"
Preference between News Items
Acts as Propositions
Desirabilities Determine Probabilities
Problems
Notes and References
Equivalence, Perspectives, Quantization
Bolker's Equivalence Theorem
Zero and Unit
Bounds on Desirabilities
Bounds onc
Perspective Transformations of Desirability
Probability Quantization
Problems
Acknowledgment
From Preference to Probability
The Existence, Closure, G, and Splitting Conditions
Determining Ratios of Probabilities
A Probability Scale for Indifferent Propositions
Nullity
A General Technique
Measuring Probabilities of Indifferent Propositions
Problems
Uniqueness
Uniqueness of Probabilities
A Scale of Desirabilities between 0 and 1
Uniqueness of the Scale
Uniqueness of Desirabilities in the Unit Interval
Uniqueness of Negative Desirabilities
Completing the Uniqueness Proof
Problems
Notes and References
Existence: Bolker's Axioms
Preference-or-Indifference as a Primitive
Prospects as Propositions
Averaging, Nullity, and Impartiality
Completeness, Atomlessness, Continuity
Notes and References
Boundedness; Causality
The St. Petersburg Paradox
Resolving the Paradox
Gambles as Causal Relationships
Our Theory Is Noncausal
Further Comparison with Ramsey's Theory
Justifying Quantization
Notes and References
Probability Kinematics
Conditionalization and Its Limits
The Problem
Solution forn = 2
Relevance
Comparison with Conditionalization
Solution for Finite n
Origination, Closure
The Continuous Case
Probabilistic Acts; Trying
Observation; Meaning
Notes and References
Induction and Objectification
Belief: Reasons versus Causes
Bayes's Theorem
Simple Induction
Confirming Generalizations
Objectivity and Learning
De Finetti's Representation Theorem
Objectification
Conclusion
Notes and References
Appendix: Preference among Preferences
Notes and References
Index
Table of Contents provided by Publisher. All Rights Reserved.

ISBN: 9780226395821
ISBN-10: 0226395820
Audience: Professional
Format: Paperback
Language: English
Number Of Pages: 248
Published: 1st January 1983
Publisher: The University of Chicago Press
Country of Publication: US
Dimensions (cm): 23.4 x 16.5  x 1.6
Weight (kg): 0.39
Edition Number: 2

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