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The Ecological Detective : Confronting Models with Data (MPB-28) - Ray Hilborn

The Ecological Detective

Confronting Models with Data (MPB-28)

Paperback Published: 6th March 1997
ISBN: 9780691034973
Number Of Pages: 336

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The modern ecologist usually works in both the field and laboratory, uses statistics and computers, and often works with ecological concepts that are model-based, if not model-driven. How do we make the field and laboratory coherent? How do we link models and data? How do we use statistics to help experimentation? How do we integrate modeling and statistics? How do we confront multiple hypotheses with data and assign degrees of belief to different hypotheses? How do we deal with time series (in which data are linked from one measurement to the next) or put multiple sources of data into one inferential framework? These are the kinds of questions asked and answered by "The Ecological Detective."

Ray Hilborn and Marc Mangel investigate ecological data much as a detective would investigate a crime scene by trying different hypotheses until a coherent picture emerges. The book is not a set of pat statistical procedures but rather an approach. The Ecological Detective makes liberal use of computer programming for the generation of hypotheses, exploration of data, and the comparison of different models. The authors' attitude is one of exploration, both statistical and graphical. The background required is minimal, so that students with an undergraduate course in statistics and ecology can profitably add this work to their tool-kit for solving ecological problems.

Confronting Models with Data
Preface: Beyond the Null Hypothesis
An Ecological Scenario and the Tools of the Ecological Detectivep. 3
Alternative Views of the Scientific Method and of Modelingp. 12
Probability and Probability Models: Know Your Datap. 39
Incidental Catch in Fisheries: Seabirds in the New Zealand Squid Trawl Fisheryp. 94
The Confrontation: Sum of Squaresp. 106
The Evolutionary Ecology of Insect Oviposition Behaviorp. 118
The Confrontation: Likelihood and Maximum Likelihoodp. 131
Conservation Biology of Wildebeest in the Serengetip. 180
The Confrontation: Bayesian Goodness of Fitp. 203
Management of Hake Fisheries in Namibia Motivationp. 235
The Confrontation: Understanding How the Best Fit Is Foundp. 263
Appendix "The Method of Multiple Working Hypotheses"p. 281
Referencesp. 295
Indexp. 309
Table of Contents provided by Publisher. All Rights Reserved.

ISBN: 9780691034973
ISBN-10: 0691034974
Series: Monographs in Population Biology
Audience: Tertiary; University or College
Format: Paperback
Language: English
Number Of Pages: 336
Published: 6th March 1997
Country of Publication: US
Dimensions (cm): 21.59 x 15.24  x 1.27
Weight (kg): 0.39

Earn 84 Qantas Points
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