The Design Inference

Eliminating Chance Through Small Probabilities

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Hardcover | 1 February 1999

At a Glance

Hardcover
264 Pages

Dimensions(cm)
22.86 x 15.24 x 1.6

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The design inference uncovers intelligent causes by isolating their key trademark: specified events of small probability. Just about anything that happens is highly improbable, but when a highly improbable event is also specified (i.e. conforms to an independently given pattern) undirected natural causes lose their explanatory power. Design inferences can be found in a range of scientific pursuits from forensic science to research into the origins of life to the search for extraterrestrial intelligence. This challenging and provocative 1998 book shows how incomplete undirected causes are for science and breathes new life into classical design arguments. It will be read with particular interest by philosophers of science and religion, other philosophers concerned with epistemology and logic, probability and complexity theorists, and statisticians.

Industry Reviews

"...quite readable. Those who have no knowledge of the mathematics of probability may be put off, but in fact the level of mathematics and symbolic logic employed is not very difficult...The main arguments...are given in ordinary prose, then translated into symbols...Dembski has made a real advance in probability and information theory..." Books & Culture "...generally careful and precise, often persuasive, and at times surprisingly philosophically sensitive." Ethics "Dembski has produced an astonishing work. The Design InferenceR^ will no doubt become the cornerstone of the intelligent design movement. A marked and dog-eared copy of The Design InferenceR^ deserves a place on your shel not just for its clear historical significance, but also to allow yourself a place in the momentous discussion to come. Philosophia Christi

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Preface
Acknowledgments
Introduction
Historical overview
The man with the golden arm
Intellectual property protection
Forensic science and detection
Data falsification
Cryptography (and SETI)
Randomness
Overview of the design inference
The explanatory filter
The logic of the Inference
Case study - the creation-evolution controversy
From design to agency
Probability theory
The probability of an event
Events
Background information
Likelihood
The best available estimate
Axiomatization of probability
Complexity theory
The complexity of a problem
Problems and resources
Difficulty and its estimation
Axiomatization of complexity
Calibration through complexity bounds
Information measures
RMS measures
Technical supplement on RMS Measures
Specification
Patterns
The requisite precondition
Detachability
Specification defined
Pyramids and presidents
Information tucked within information
Prediction
Increasing the power of a complexity measure
Caputo revisited
Randomness revisited
Small probability
Probabilistic resources
The generic chance elimination argument
The Magic Number 1/2
Statistical significance testing
Local and universal small probabilities
The inflationary fallacy
The Law of Small Probability
Epilogue
Notes
References
Table of Contents provided by Publisher. All Rights Reserved.

The Design Inference

Eliminating Chance Through Small Probabilities

At a Glance

Hardcover

Industry Reviews

Shipping

How to return your order

Defective items

You Can Find This Book In

Other Editions and Formats

Paperback

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