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A black swan is an event, positive or negative, that is deemed improbable yet causes massive consequences. In this groundbreaking and prophetic book, Taleb shows in a playful way that Black Swan events explain almost everything about our world, and yet we--especially the experts--are blind to them. In this second edition, Taleb has added a new essay, " On Robustness and Fragility," which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world.
*2nd Edition, With a new essay: "On Robustness and Fragility"
Praise for Nassim Nicholas Taleb
"The most prophetic voice of all."--GQ
Praise for The Black Swan "[A book] that altered modern thinking."--The Times (London)
"A masterpiece."--Chris Anderson, editor in chief of Wired, author of The Long Tail
"Idiosyncratically brilliant."--Niall Ferguson, Los Angeles Times
"The Black Swan changed my view of how the world works."--Daniel Kahneman, Nobel laureate
"[Taleb writes] in a style that owes as much to Stephen Colbert as it does to Michel de Montaigne. . . . We eagerly romp with him through the follies of confirmation bias [and] narrative fallacy."--The Wall Street Journal
"Hugely enjoyable--compelling . . . easy to dip into."--Financial Times
"Engaging . . . The Black Swan has appealing cheek and admirable ambition."--The New York Times Book Review
ISBN: 9780812973815 ISBN-10: 081297381X Series: Incerto Audience:
Number Of Pages: 480 Published: 11th May 2010 Publisher: Random House USA Inc Country of Publication: US Dimensions (cm): 19.68 x 13.34
Weight (kg): 0.33
Edition Number: 2