Seasonality in Human Mortality

A Demographic Approach

By: Roland Rau

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Hardcover | 16 October 2006

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232 Pages

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Seasonal fluctuations in mortality are a persistent phenomenon across populations. In Western countries of the Northern hemisphere, mortality is typically larger in winter than in summer which is attributed to the detrimental effects of cold to health. This does, however, not explain why in colder countries the differences between winter and summer mortality are smaller than in countries with warm or moderate climate. This book, therefore, investigates whether sociodemographic and socioeconomic factors play a role as important for seasonal mortality as they do for mortality in general. Using modern statistical methods, the book shows, for example for the United States, that the fluctuations between winter and summer mortality are smaller the more years someone has spent in school.

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"Roland Rau's monograph on 'Seasonality in Human Mortality' is really welcome. Based on his dissertation, the book comprises two original studies of seasonal mortality, one in the US and the other in Denmark. ... This book is the third volume of the Demographic Research Monographs series published since 2004 by Springer for the Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research. ... It is highly appreciated that the new series is also open to young and promising researchers." (Jean-Marie Robine, European Journal of Population, Vol. 24, 2008)

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Non-Fiction Medicine Clinical & Internal Medicine Diseases & Disorders Other Branches of Medicine Pathology Medicine in General Public Health & Preventive Medicine Epidemiology & Medical Statistics Economics Political Economy Sociology & Anthropology

Sociology Population & Demography Social Research & Statistics Medical Equipment & Techniques Medical Research

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Paperback

Published: 25th November 2010

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Introduction	p. 1
Literature Review	p. 5
Introduction	p. 5
Causal Chain	p. 5
Introduction	p. 5
A Simple Chain of Causality for Seasonal Mortality: Biomedical Factors	p. 6
A More Advanced Chain of Causality for Seasonal Mortality: Social and Biological Factors	p. 9
Summary	p. 14
Seasonal Mortality from a Historical Perspective	p. 15
Introduction	p. 15
Seasonal Mortality before 1400	p. 16
Seasonal Mortality Between 1400 and 1800	p. 22
Seasonal Mortality from 1800 until Present Times	p. 29
Measuring Seasonality	p. 39
Introduction	p. 39
Seasonality Indices	p. 40
Introduction	p. 40
Winter/Summer Ratio	p. 41
Concentration/Dissimilarity Indices	p. 42
Tests for Seasonality	p. 44
Goodness-of-Fit-Tests	p. 44
Edwards' Family	p. 47
Nonparametric Tests	p. 50
Time-Series Methods	p. 51
Introduction	p. 51
Decomposition Methods	p. 52
Simultaneous Modelling	p. 53
Seasonal Time-Series Methods	p. 54
Evaluation of Seasonality Indices and Tests	p. 58
Description of Datasets	p. 58
Results and Discussion for Indices and Tests	p. 61
Evaluation of Time-Series Methods	p. 69
Introduction	p. 69
Description of Data-Sets	p. 70
Results and Discussion	p. 70
Summary	p. 80
Seasonal Analysis of Death Counts in the United States	p. 83
Introduction	p. 83
Research Questions	p. 84
Data	p. 85
Cause of Death	p. 86
Education	p. 90
Marital Status	p. 91
Region	p. 92
Known Data Problems	p. 93
Methods	p. 95
Model Requirements	p. 95
The Model	p. 96
Results & Discussion	p. 107
Seasonality by Period & Cause of Death	p. 107
Seasonality by Age & Cause of Death	p. 110
Seasonality by Region & Age	p. 115
Seasonality by Region & Period	p. 117
Seasonality by Education & Age	p. 118
Seasonality by Marital Status & Age	p. 120
Summary	p. 122
The Impact of Social Factors on Excess Winter Mortality in Denmark	p. 125
Introduction	p. 125
The Data of Denmark	p. 125
(Seasonality in) Mortality in Denmark	p. 125
Research Questions	p. 127
Summary	p. 131
Data and Methods	p. 131
Data Description	p. 131
Method	p. 135
Problems of the Data Analysis	p. 139
Results	p. 142
Descriptive Results	p. 142
Absolute Level of Mortality	p. 143
Seasonal Mortality by Sex and Cause of Death	p. 145
Winter Excess Mortality by Age, Sex, and Cause of Death	p. 147
Seasonal Mortality by Sex, Wealth and Cause of Death	p. 155
Winter Excess Mortality by Sex, Education and Cause of Death	p. 158
Winter Excess by Cause of Death and Housing Conditions	p. 160
Winter Excess Mortality by Cause of Death and Car Ownership	p. 162
Winter Excess Mortality by Sex, Marital Status and Cause of Death	p. 163
Winter Excess Mortality by Cause of Death and Living Alone	p. 166
Summary	p. 167
Outlook: The Impact of Reducing Cold-Related Mortality	p. 169
Introduction	p. 169
Data, Methods, and Results	p. 169
Discussion	p. 170
Concluding Chapter: Summary of Findings	p. 173
Appendix for Literature Review	p. 177
Methodological Aspects of the Literature Review	p. 177
Appendix for Literature Review	p. 179
Studies on Seasonal Mortality of Cardiovascular, Cerebrovascular and Respiratory Disease	p. 179
Appendix for Measuring Seasonality	p. 181
Empirical Distributions for Hewitt's & Rogerson's Tests	p. 181
Problems of Gaussian Densities to Smooth a Straight Line	p. 183
Appendix for Danish Register Analysis	p. 185
Seasonal Mortality by Sex, Education and Cause of Death	p. 185
References	p. 187
Table of Contents provided by Ingram. All Rights Reserved.

Seasonality in Human Mortality

A Demographic Approach

At a Glance

Hardcover

Industry Reviews

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How to return your order

Defective items

You Can Find This Book In

Other Editions and Formats

Paperback

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