Probability and the Art of Judgment

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Paperback | 24 August 1992

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260 Pages

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22.8 x 15.4 x 1.6

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Richard Jeffrey is beyond dispute one of the most distinguished and influential philosophers working in the field of decision theory and the theory of knowledge. His work is distinctive in showing the interplay of epistemological concerns with probability and utility theory. Not only has he made use of standard probabilistic and decision theoretic tools to clarify concepts of evidential support and informed choice, he has also proposed significant modifications of the standard Bayesian position in order that it provide a better fit with actual human experience. Probability logic is viewed not as a source of judgment but as a framework for explaining the implications of probabilistic judgments and their mutual compatability This collection of essays spans a period of some 35 years and includes what have become some of the classic works in the literature. There is also one completely new piece, while in many instances Jeffrey includes afterthoughts on the older essays.

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"Probability and the Art of Judgment is a valuable addition to the literature of decision theory for its broad presentation of Jeffrey's thought and for the stimulation and challenge it provides. Graduate students and researchers who study preference, subjective probability, or decision theory from either a descriptive or normative orientation can find it a rich source of ideas." Journal of Mathematical Psychology

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You Can Find This Book In

Non-Fiction Psychology Mathematics Probability & Statistics Philosophy Philosophy & Logic Epistemology & The Theory of Knowledge Science Science in General Philosophy of Science

Preface
Introduction: radical probabilism
Valuation an dacceptance of scientific hypotheses
Probable knowledge
Probability and the art of judgment
Bayesianism with a human face
Alias Smith and Jones: the testimony of the senses
Conditioning, kinematics, and exchangeability
Preference among preferences
On interpersonal utility theory
Remarks on interpersonal utility theory
Mises redux
Statistical explanation vs. statistical inference
New foundations for Bayesian decision theory
Frameworks for preference
Axiomatizing the logic of decision
A note on the kinematics of preference
Table of Contents provided by Publisher. All Rights Reserved.

Probability and the Art of Judgment

At a Glance

Paperback

Industry Reviews

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How to return your order

Defective items

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