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Korea after Kim Jong-Il : Policy Analyses in International Economics - Marcus Noland

Korea after Kim Jong-Il

Policy Analyses in International Economics

Paperback Published: 8th January 2004
ISBN: 9780881323733
Number Of Pages: 100
For Ages: 22+ years old

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Today's North Korean regime embodies elements of both communism and Confucian dynasty, is sovereign with respect to only part of the divided Korean nation, is vulnerable to pressure from external powers, and confronts incipient internal demands for change, yielding an unusually broad set of possible transition paths and successor regimes. Such paths range from maintenance of the status quo to evolution, probably toward a more conventional form of military authoritarianism, to revolutionary upheaval, the latter in all likelihood implying the North's collapse and its absorption into the rival Southern state. This policy analysis quantitatively analyzes the probability of regime change and examines the character of possible successor regimes and the implications of these profoundly different trajectories for South Korea.

Industry Reviews

[A] bold and insightful attempt to chart the future. Pacific Affairs

Preface; Acknowledgments; 1. Political Change in North Korea 87.6KB; 2. Modeling Regime Change 116.4KB; 3. Transition Paths 110.5KB; 4. Implications for South Korea 94.9KB; Data Appendix 56.3KB; References; Index

ISBN: 9780881323733
ISBN-10: 088132373X
Series: Policy Analyses in International Economics
Audience: Professional
For Ages: 22+ years old
Format: Paperback
Language: English
Number Of Pages: 100
Published: 8th January 2004
Publisher: The Peterson Institute for International Economics
Country of Publication: US
Dimensions (cm): 22.7 x 15.9  x 0.7
Weight (kg): 0.19