| Preface | p. v |
| Contents | p. VII |
| List of Authors | p. XV |
| Introduction | p. 1 |
| The Impact Pathway Methodology | p. 5 |
| Guiding Principles in the Development of the ExternE Methodology | p. 5 |
| Quantification of Impacts | p. 7 |
| Economic Valuation | p. 9 |
| Assessment of Uncertainty | p. 9 |
| Priority Impact Pathways | p. 10 |
| Emission Calculation | p. 11 |
| Road Transport | p. 11 |
| Rail Transport | p. 14 |
| Inland Shipping Transport | p. 15 |
| Steady State Operation | p. 15 |
| Non Steady State Operation | p. 17 |
| Aircraft Transport | p. 18 |
| Atmospheric Transport Modelling | p. 21 |
| Local Scale | p. 21 |
| Gaussian Dispersion Modelling21 | |
| The ROADPOL Model | p. 23 |
| Ozone | p. 24 |
| Regional Scale | p. 26 |
| Reactive and Non-Reactive Pollutants | p. 26 |
| Ozone | p. 27 |
| Global Scale (Ozone) | p. 29 |
| Validation of Dispersion Modelling | p. 30 |
| Health Effects: Exposure-Response Functions | p. 35 |
| Introduction | p. 35 |
| Summary of Methods | p. 35 |
| Representation of Particles | p. 37 |
| Should E-R functions for Particles from Transport be Expressed in Terms of PM10 or PM2.5 or Some Other Index? | p. 37 |
| Developing E-R Functions Expressed as PM2.5 rather than PM10 | p. 38 |
| The Gaseous Pollutants | p. 38 |
| Ozone | p. 38 |
| SO2 | p. 39 |
| CO | p. 39 |
| NO2 | p. 39 |
| Conversion Factors From ppb to Gravimetric Units | p. 40 |
| E-R Functions for a European Implementation | p. 40 |
| Can the Same Functions be Used throughout Europe, without Serious Error? | p. 40 |
| Transferring E-R Functions from North America | p. 40 |
| Thresholds | p. 41 |
| 'Chronic' Mortality: Effects as Estimated from Cohort Studies | p. 41 |
| Chronic Mortality and Particles: Is there a Causal Relationship? | p. 42 |
| Choice of Study and E-R Function for Quantification | p. 42 |
| Estimating Years of Life Lost (YOLL) | p. 43 |
| Estimating Costs | p. 44 |
| Other E-R Functions for the Classical Pollutants | p. 44 |
| Implementation | p. 44 |
| Acute Mortality | p. 44 |
| Respiratory Hospital Admissions | p. 45 |
| Cardiovascular Hospital Admissions | p. 45 |
| Emergency Room Visits (ERVs) | p. 45 |
| Restricted Activity Days (RADs) | p. 45 |
| Acute Effects in Asthmatics | p. 46 |
| Respiratory Symptoms in the General Population | p. 46 |
| Chronic Morbidity in Adults | p. 46 |
| Chronic Morbidity in Children | p. 46 |
| Additivity across Health Endpoints | p. 46 |
| Other Pollutants, especially Carcinogens: Methodology | p. 47 |
| Introductory Remarks | p. 47 |
| Objectives of the Evaluation | p. 47 |
| Unit Risk Factors for the Occurrence of Cancer | p. 48 |
| Reliability of Scientific Evidence Underlying URFs | p. 48 |
| The Approach of the US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) | p. 49 |
| Summary Evaluations of various Transport-Related Pollutants | p. 49 |
| Benzene | p. 49 |
| 1,3 Butadiene | p. 50 |
| Polycyclic Aromatic Hydrocarbons (PAHs) | p. 50 |
| Diesel Exhaust Particulates | p. 51 |
| Formaldehyde | p. 52 |
| Acetaldehyde and Other Aldehydes | p. 52 |
| Ethylene Oxide/ Ethene | p. 52 |
| MTBE (Methyl Tertiary-Butyl Ether) | p. 53 |
| Volatile Organic Compounds (VOCs), as a Mixture | p. 53 |
| Lead | p. 53 |
| Platinum and Related Compounds | p. 54 |
| Some Remarks on YOLL and Latency | p. 55 |
| Concluding Remarks | p. 55 |
| Impacts on Building Materials | p. 59 |
| Degradation of Building Materials | p. 60 |
| Damage Mechanisms | p. 60 |
| Dose-Response Functions | p. 62 |
| Soiling of Building Materials | p. 66 |
| Soiling Mechanisms | p. 66 |
| Dose-Response Functions | p. 67 |
| Combination of Degradation and Soiling Effects | p. 70 |
| Impacts on Terrestrial Ecosystems | p. 73 |
| Introduction | p. 73 |
| Impacts Linked to Direct Effects on Ecosystem Structure | p. 73 |
| Loss of Habitat | p. 73 |
| Networks and Habitat Fragmentation | p. 76 |
| Expenditure on Protection of Semi-Natural Habitats | p. 78 |
| Impacts Linked to Management of the Transport System | p. 79 |
| Roadside Verges and Rail Margins | p. 79 |
| De-Icing | p. 79 |
| Impacts Linked to Use of the Transport System | p. 80 |
| Impacts on Semi-Natural Vegetation | p. 81 |
| Animal Mortality | p. 85 |
| Conclusions and Further Information | p. 85 |
| Economic Valuation, Sustainability Indicators and Alternative Assessment Techniques | p. 87 |
| Monetary Valuation: Mortality Risks | p. 87 |
| Background Methodology | p. 87 |
| Empirical Evidence | p. 87 |
| Measurement of the Cost Per Life Saved (CPLS) / Cost Per Life Year Saved (CPLYS) | p. 94 |
| Discount Rates4 | p. 95 |
| Revised Morbidity Values | p. 97 |
| The Helsinki Study | p. 97 |
| The 5-Country Study | p. 97 |
| Testing for Benefit Transfer (BT) across Countries | p. 99 |
| The Strasbourg and Kehl Study | p. 99 |
| New European Estimates of Productivity Loss and Health Services Costs | p. 100 |
| Suggested Revision of Morbidity Estimates | p. 101 |
| Sustainability Indicators | p. 102 |
| Introduction | p. 102 |
| Linking Strong and Weak Sustainability Indicators | p. 103 |
| Comparison of the LCA-Method ECO and Monetary Valuation Method CV | p. 103 |
| Decision Rules | p. 104 |
| Evaluating "Non-Marginal" Changes | p. 105 |
| Introduction | p. 105 |
| Valuing a Change in Welfare: The Case of a Single Affected Market | p. 106 |
| The Indirect Effects of Price Changes | p. 107 |
| General Equilibrium Analysis | p. 109 |
| Introduction | p. 109 |
| Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) Models | p. 110 |
| Input-Output Models | p. 112 |
| When to Use General Equilibrium Analysis | p. 113 |
| Recommendations | p. 113 |
| Incorporating Non-Monetised Impacts into the Decision Making Process | p. 114 |
| Introduction | p. 114 |
| Avoidance Costs | p. 115 |
| Conceptual Framework for Attribute Decision Making | p. 116 |
| Global Warming | p. 121 |
| Introduction | p. 121 |
| Models | p. 121 |
| Open Framework | p. 121 |
| FUND 1.6 | p. 122 |
| FUND 2.0 | p. 123 |
| Conventions for Valuation and Reporting | p. 124 |
| Discounting | p. 124 |
| Aggregation | p. 125 |
| Carbon Dioxide, Methane and Nitrous Oxide | p. 128 |
| Uncertainty | p. 130 |
| Ozone and Sulphate Aerosols | p. 133 |
| Summary of Damage Costs | p. 136 |
| Avoidance Costs | p. 137 |
| Treatment of Up- and Downstream Processes | p. 139 |
| Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) and Impact Pathway Analysis | p. 139 |
| Simplified Damage Estimates for LCA | p. 140 |
| The Uniform World Model | p. 141 |
| Generalisation to Secondary Pollutants | p. 144 |
| Uncertainty | p. 147 |
| General Remarks | p. 147 |
| Methodology for Estimating Uncertainties | p. 148 |
| Placement of the Confidence Intervals | p. 153 |
| Alternative Hypotheses about Causes | p. 154 |
| The Nature of Particulate Matter | p. 154 |
| A Model for Assessing the Uncertainty Due to Composition ofPM | p. 155 |
| Analogies with Smoking | p. 158 |
| Comprehensive Uncertainty | p. 159 |
| Quantification of Total and Average Externalities (Aggregation) | p. 161 |
| Aggregation Issues | p. 161 |
| Aggregation of Impacts | p. 163 |
| Aggregation Methodology | p. 163 |
| Aggregating by Emissions | p. 163 |
| Aggregating by Cost per Kilometre | p. 165 |
| Discussion | p. 165 |
| Economic Aspects | p. 166 |
| Conclusions | p. 168 |
| Marginal Costs | p. 169 |
| Belgium | p. 169 |
| Road Transport | p. 169 |
| Finland | p. 173 |
| Road Transport | p. 173 |
| Rail Transport | p. 175 |
| France: | p. 177 |
| Road Transport | p. 177 |
| Rail Transport | p. 180 |
| Germany | p. 181 |
| Road Transport | p. 181 |
| Rail Transport | p. 184 |
| Aircraft Transport | p. 186 |
| Greece | p. 187 |
| Road Transport | p. 187 |
| Marine Transport | p. 191 |
| The Netherlands | p. 191 |
| Road Transport | p. 191 |
| Rail Transport | p. 194 |
| Inland Shipping | p. 195 |
| Aircraft Transport | p. 196 |
| United Kingdom | p. 197 |
| Road Transport | p. 197 |
| Rail Transport | p. 198 |
| Aircraft Transport | p. 200 |
| Marine Transport | p. 201 |
| Results of Marginal Cost Case Studies | p. 201 |
| Site-Specific Results | p. 201 |
| Road Transport | p. 206 |
| Rail Transport | p. 211 |
| Other Modes | p. 212 |
| Costs Including Up- and Downstream Processes | p. 214 |
| Aggregated Costs | p. 223 |
| The External Costs of Road Transport in Belgium | p. 223 |
| Vehicle Statistics | p. 223 |
| Data on External Costs | p. 226 |
| Results and Conclusions | p. 227 |
| The External Costs of Transport in the Netherlands | p. 228 |
| Road Transport | p. 230 |
| Rail Transport | p. 232 |
| Inland Shipping | p. 233 |
| Aircraft Transport | p. 233 |
| Other Mobile Sources | p. 234 |
| Conclusions | p. 234 |
| The External Costs of Road Transport in the UK | p. 235 |
| Road Transport Statistics | p. 236 |
| Road Emission Factors and Damage Costs | p. 236 |
| Results | p. 237 |
| The External Costs of Road Transport in the Federal State of Baden-Wurttemberg, Germany | p. 239 |
| Emission Scenario | p. 239 |
| Local Damage Estimation | p. 241 |
| Local Exposure Estimates | p. 242 |
| Classification of Road Network Links | p. 243 |
| Regional Range Impacts | p. 244 |
| Results | p. 245 |
| Conclusions | p. 245 |
| Policy Case Studies | p. 247 |
| Belgium: Do Policies Cope with Transportation Trends? | p. 247 |
| The Evolution of the Total Environmental Costs in Belgium | p. 247 |
| Concluding Remarks | p. 251 |
| Belgium: Taxation of Transportation Fuels and External Costs per Litre of Fuel | p. 251 |
| External Costs per Litre of Petrol and Diesel | p. 251 |
| Comparing External Air Pollution Costs with Prices and Excises | p. 254 |
| Finland: Alternative Fuels in Helsinki City Buses | p. 254 |
| Background Data on the Helsinki City Bus Traffic | p. 255 |
| Emission Factors | p. 257 |
| Results | p. 257 |
| Comparison of Total Costs for Diesel and Natural Gas Buses | p. 259 |
| Conclusions | p. 260 |
| France: Electric versus Conventional Vehicles: Social Costs and Benefits | p. 260 |
| Vehicle Technologies and Costs | p. 261 |
| Emissions and Damage Costs per km | p. 263 |
| Life Cycle Costs/Benefits | p. 264 |
| Conclusions | p. 265 |
| Germany: Benefits of Introducing CNG-Fuelled Vehicles in the Federal State of Baden-urttemberg | p. 266 |
| Emission Scenarios | p. 266 |
| Implementation and Results | p. 268 |
| Concluding Remarks | p. 269 |
| Greece: Benefits from Introducing CNG Buses in Athens | p. 269 |
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