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Engineering Probabilistic Design and Maintenance for Flood Protection : Diverse Ser. - Roger Cooke

Engineering Probabilistic Design and Maintenance for Flood Protection

Diverse Ser.

By: Roger Cooke (Editor), M. Mendel (Editor), J. K. Vrijling (Editor)

Hardcover Published: 28th February 1997
ISBN: 9780792343998
Number Of Pages: 214

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The First Conference on Engineering Probability in Flood Defense was orga- nized by the Department of Mathematics and Informatics of the Delft U niver- sity of Technology and the Department of Industrial Engineering and Opera- tions Research of the University of California at Berkeley, and was held on June 1,2 1995 in Delft. Groups at Berkeley and Delft were both deeply engaged in modeling deterioration in civil structures, particularly flood defense structures. The plans for the conference were well under way when the dramatic floods in The Netherlands and California in the winter of 1994-1995 focused world attention on these problems. The design of civil engineering structures and systems is essentially an example of decision making under uncertainty. Although the decision making part of the process is generally acknowledged, the uncertainty in variables and param- eters in the design problem is less frequently recognized. In many practical design procedures the uncertainty is concealed behind sharp probabilistic de- sign targets like 'once in a thousand years' combined with a standardized use of safety factors. The choice of these probabilistic design targets, however, is based on an assessment of the uncertainty of the variable under consideration, and on its assessed importance. The value of the safety factor is governed by similar considerations. Standard practice is simply accu~ulated experience and engineering judgment. In light of the great number of civil engineering structures that function suc-. cessfully, one may say that this standard practice has proven itself broadly satisfactory.

Preface
The Case for Engineering Probabilityp. 1
Optimal Maintenance Decisions for the Sea-Bed Protection of the Eastern-Scheldt Barrierp. 25
Review Problem Owner Perspectivep. 57
Review Engineering Perspectivep. 61
Gamma Processes and Their Generalizations: An Overviewp. 67
Gamma Processesp. 77
Reply to the Reviewsp. 85
A Physics-Based Approach to Predicting the Frequency of Extreme River Levelsp. 89
Review Problem Owner and Engineering Perspectivep. 109
Review Mathematical Perspectivep. 133
Reply to the Reviewsp. 135
Large Mean Out Crossing of Nonlinear Response to Stochastic Inputp. 141
Review Problem Owner Perspectivep. 161
Review Engineering Perspectivep. 163
Review Mathematical Perspectivep. 167
Reply to the Reviewsp. 173
Probabilistic Design of Berm Breakwatersp. 181
Review Problem Owner Perspectivep. 199
Review Engineering Perspectivep. 201
Review Mathematical Perspectivep. 203
Reply to the Reviewsp. 209
Table of Contents provided by Blackwell. All Rights Reserved.

ISBN: 9780792343998
ISBN-10: 0792343999
Series: Diverse Ser.
Audience: General
Format: Hardcover
Language: English
Number Of Pages: 214
Published: 28th February 1997
Publisher: Springer
Country of Publication: NL
Dimensions (cm): 23.4 x 15.6  x 1.91
Weight (kg): 1.11