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Cognition and Conditionals : Probability and Logic in Human Thinking - Mike Oaksford

Cognition and Conditionals

Probability and Logic in Human Thinking

By: Mike Oaksford (Editor), Nick Chater (Editor)

Hardcover

Published: 20th June 2010
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The conditional, if...then, is probably the most important term in natural language and forms the core of systems of logic and mental representation. It occurs in all human languages and allows people to express their knowledge of the causal or law-like structure of the world and of others' behaviour, e.g., if you turn the key the car starts, if John walks the dog he stops for a pint of beer; to make promises, e.g., if you cook tonight, I'll wash up all week; to regulate behaviour, e.g., if you are drinking beer, you must be over 18 years of age; to suggest what would have happened had things been different, e.g., if the match had been dry it would have lit, among many other possible uses. The way in which the conditional is modelled also determines the core of most logical systems. Unsurprisingly, it is also the most researched expression in the psychology of human reasoning.

Cognition and Conditionals is the first volume for over 20 years (On Conditionals, 1986, CUP) that brings together recent developments in the cognitive science and psychology of conditional reasoning. Over the last 10 to 15 years, research on conditionals has come to dominate the psychology of reasoning providing a rich seam of results that have created new theoretical possibilities. This book shows how these developments have led researchers to view people's conditional reasoning behaviour more as succesful probabilistic reasoning rather than as errorful logical reasoning. It shows how the multifarious, and apparently competing, theoretical positions developed over the last 50 years in this area - mental logics, mental models, heuristic approaches, dual process theory, and probabilistic approaches-have responded to these insights. Its organisation reflects the view that an integrative approach is emerging that may need to exploit aspects of all these theoretical positions to explain the rich and complex phenomenon of reasoning with conditionals. It includes an introductory chapter relating the development of the psychology of reasoning to developments in the logic and semantics of the conditional. It also includes chapters by many of the leading figures in this field.

Cognition and Conditionals will be a valuable resource for cognitive scientists, psychologists and philosophers interested how people actually reason with conditionals.

1: Mike Oaksford & Nick Chater: Cognition and conditionals: An Introduction Working Memory: Function, Representation, and Process Logic 2: David O'Brien & Andrea Manfrinati: The mental logic theory of conditional propositions 3: Ruth Byrne & Phil Johnson-Laird: Conditionals and possibilities 4: Walter Schroyens: Logic and/in psychology: The paradoxes of material implication and psychologism in the cognitive science of human reasoning 5: Keith Stenning& Michiel van Lambalgen: The logical response to a noisy world Probability 6: Vittorio Girotto & Phil Johnson-Laird: Conditionals and probability 7: Nilufa Ali, Anne Schlottman, Abigail Shaw, Nick Chater, & Mike Oaksford: Causal discounting and conditional reasoning in children 8: David Over, Jonathan Evans, & Shira Elqayam: Conditionals and non-constructive reasoning 9: Niki Pfeifer & Gernot Kleiter: The conditional in mental probability logic Long Term Memory: Function, Representation, and Process Logic 10: Henry Markovits: Semantic memory retrieval, mental models, and the development of conditional inferences in children 11: Wim De Neys: Counterexample retrieval and inhibition during conditional reasoning: Direct evidence from memory probing Probability 12: Denise Cummins: How semantic memory processes temper causal inferences 13: In-mao Liu: A successive-conditionalization approach to conditional reasoning 14: Jean-Francois Bonnefon & Guy Politzer: Pragmatic conditionals, conditional pragmatics, and the pragmatic component of conditional reasoning Integrative Approaches 15: Bob Kowalski: Reasoning with conditionals in artificial intelligence 16: Sonja Geiger & Klaus Oberauer: Towards a reconciliation of mental model theory and probabilistic theories 17: Mike Oaksford & Nick Chater: Conditional inference and constraint satisfaction: Reconciling mental models and the probabilistic approach? 18: Valerie Thompson: Towards a metacognitive dual process theory of conditional reasoning 19: Niki Verschueren & Walter Schaeken: A multi-layered dual-process approach to conditional reasoning 20: Guy Politzer & Jean-Francois Bonnefon: Two aspects of reasoning competence: A challenge for current accounts and a call for new conceptual tools Epilogue 21: Nick Chater & Mike Oaksford: Open issues in the cognitive science of conditionals

ISBN: 9780199233298
ISBN-10: 0199233292
Audience: Professional
Format: Hardcover
Language: English
Number Of Pages: 420
Published: 20th June 2010
Publisher: Oxford University Press
Country of Publication: GB
Dimensions (cm): 25.3 x 17.6  x 3.0
Weight (kg): 0.9