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Applications of Seasonal Climate Forecasting in Agricultural and Natural Ecosystems : Atmospheric and Oceanographic Sciences Library - Graeme L. Hammer

Applications of Seasonal Climate Forecasting in Agricultural and Natural Ecosystems

Atmospheric and Oceanographic Sciences Library

By: Graeme L. Hammer (Editor), Neville Nicholls (Editor), Christopher Mitchell (Editor)

Hardcover Published: 30th September 2000
ISBN: 9780792362708
Number Of Pages: 472

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Climate variability has major impacts in many parts of the world, including Australia. Developments in understanding of the El Nino - Southern Oscillation Phenomenon have introduced some skill in seasonal to inter-annual climate forecasting. Can this skill be harnessed to advantage? Or do we just continue to observe these impacts? How does a decision-maker managing an agricultural or natural ecosystem modify decisions in response to a skillful, but imprecise, seasonal climate forecast? Using Australian experience as a basis, this book focuses on these questions in pursuing means to better manage climate risks. The state of the science in climate forecasting is reviewed before considering detailed examples of applications to:

  1. farm scale agricultural decisions (such as management of cropping and grazing systems);
  2. regional and national scale agricultural decisions (such as commodity trading and government policy); and
  3. natural systems (such as water resources, pests and diseases, and natural fauna).
Many of the examples highlight the participatory and inter-disciplinary approach required among decision-makers, resource systems scientists/analysts, and climate scientists to bring about the effective applications. The experiences discussed provide valuable insights beyond the geographical and disciplinary focus of this book. The book is ideally suited to professionals and postgraduate students in ecology, agricultural climatology, environmental planning, and climate science.

Industry Reviews

`The book provides the first consolidated collection of R-D in this area, and while there is still a great deal to learn, the book represents a significant step towards achieving more widespread and prudent use of SCFs around the world. We therefore have no hesitation in recommending this book to those who work in the development, delivery, or application of seasonal-to-interannual climate predictions and to meteorological service providers generally'
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 82:10 (2001)

Contributors
Preface
Introduction
The importance of climate variability and seasonal forecasting to the Australian economy
The relevance of seasonal climate forecasting to a rural producer
Understanding and predicting the world's climate system
A general systems approach to applying seasonal climate forecasts
Seasonal Climate Forecasting
The development and delivery of current seasonal climate forecasting capabilities in Australia
The potential for improved statistical seasonal climate forecasts
Global climatic models and their potential for seasonal climatic forecasting
Operational experience with climate model predictions
Stochastic down-scaling of general circulation model simulations
Statistical methods for deriving seasonal climate forecasts from GCM's
Farm Scale Agricultural Decisions
Using seasonal climate forecasts to manage dryland crops in northern Australia - Experiences from the 1997 98 seasons
The potential value of seasonal climate forecasting in managing cropping systems
Comparing the value of seasonal climate forecasting systems in managing cropping systems
Managing climatic variability in Queensland's grazing lands e- New approaches
Simulation of grazing strategies for beef production in north-east Queensland
Managing climate variability in grazing enterprises: A Case study for Dalrymple shire, north-eastern Australia
Seasonal climate forecasting and the management of rangelands: Do production benefits translate into enterprise profits?
Building knowledge and skills to use seasonal climate forecasts in property management planning
Opoortunities to improve the use of seasonal climate forecasts
Regional and National Scale Agricultural Decisions
Aussie GRASS: Australian grassland and rangeland assessment by spatial simulation
Using seasonal climate forecasts in forecasting the Australian wheat crop
Can seasonal climate forecasts predict movements in grain prices?
Natural Systems
Climate variability, seasonal forecasting and invertebrate pests e- The need for a synoptic view
ENSO regulation of Indo-Pacific green turtle populations
Streamflow variability, seasonal forecasting and water resources systems
The effect of climate on the incidence of vector-borne viral diseases in Australia: The potential value of seasonal forecasting
Synthesis
Applying seasonal climate forecasts in agricultural and natural ecosystems e- a synthesis
Table of Contents provided by Publisher. All Rights Reserved.

ISBN: 9780792362708
ISBN-10: 0792362705
Series: Atmospheric and Oceanographic Sciences Library
Audience: General
Format: Hardcover
Language: English
Number Of Pages: 472
Published: 30th September 2000
Publisher: Springer
Country of Publication: NL
Dimensions (cm): 23.39 x 15.6  x 3.66
Weight (kg): 1.1

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