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Why Peace Fails

The Causes and Prevention of Civil War Recurrence

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Published: 15th April 2012
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Why does peace fail? More precisely, why do some countries that show every sign of having successfully emerged from civil war fall once again into armed conflict? What explains why peace "sticks" after some wars but not others? In this illuminating study, Charles T. Call examines the factors behind fifteen cases of civil war recurrence in Africa, Asia, the Caucasus, and Latin America. He argues that widely touted explanations of civil war - such as poverty, conflict over natural resources, and weak states - are far less important than political exclusion. Call's study shows that inclusion of former opponents in postwar governance plays a decisive role in sustained peace. "Why Peace Fails" ultimately suggests that the international community should resist the temptation to prematurely withdraw resources and peacekeepers after a transition from war. Instead, international actors must remain fully engaged with postwar elected governments, ensuring that they make room for former enemies.

List of Tablesp. x
Acknowledgmentsp. xi
Introduction: The Tragedy of Civil War Recurrencep. 1
The Importance of This Bookp. 2
The Central Argumentp. 3
Contributions to Theoryp. 6
Research Design and Methodologyp. 7
Organization of the Bookp. 17
Notesp. 20
Why Peace Fails: Theory
What Do We Know about Why Peace Fails?p. 25
What We Know about Civil Wars and Ethnic Conflictp. 26
Four Approaches to Peacebuildingp. 30
Clarifying Concepts: Exclusion, Inclusion, and Legitimacyp. 36
Conclusionp. 47
Notesp. 48
Is Civil War Recurrence Distinct from Its Onset? A Quantitative Analysis and the Limits Thereofp. 50
A Regression Analysis of Civil War Recurrencep. 51
The Contributions and Limitations of Quantitative Methods for Studying Civil Warsp. 59
Conclusionp. 65
Notesp. 66
Examining the Cases
Liberia: Exclusion and Civil War Recurrencep. 71
The First Civil Warp. 72
The Onset of Peacep. 74
The Second Civil War: A Brief Summaryp. 76
Charles Taylor's Exclusionary Behaviorp. 78
Alternative Explanationsp. 81
Insights from Liberia's Second Postwar Peace Processp. 88
Conclusionp. 91
Notesp. 94
Separatist Recurrences of Civil Warp. 96
Sudan: The Marginalization of the Southp. 100
Chechnya: Reneging and Resistancep. 106
Georgia and South Ossetia: Integration Backfiresp. 110
China and Tibet: Compelled from Autonomyp. 115
Analyzing Cases of Reneging on Territorial Autonomyp. 118
Notesp. 120
Nonseparatist Recurrences of Civil Warp. 122
Precipitating Exclusionary Behaviorp. 123
The Central African Republic: Exclusion and State Weaknessp. 124
Haiti: Political Exclusion and Recurrencep. 129
East Timor: Liberation, Statehood, and Exclusionp. 136
Zimbabwe: Liberation, Statehood, and Exclusionp. 146
Burundi and Rwanda: Chronic Exclusionary Behaviorp. 150
Alternative Explanations and Conclusionsp. 158
Notesp. 160
Recurrences That Defy the Argumentp. 162
Lebanon: Failed Powersharingp. 163
Mali: Failed Powersharingp. 167
Nicaragua: Externally Driven Recurrencep. 173
Peru: Exclusion, Coca, and Rebel Resurgencep. 177
Conclusionp. 179
Notesp. 181
Making Peace Stick: Inclusionary Politics and Twenty-Seven Nonrecurrent Civil Warsp. 183
Inclusion, Powersharing, and Peacebuilding Successp. 186
Powersharing and Peace Consolidation: Examining the Pool of Casesp. 192
Beyond Powersharing: Inclusionary Behavior and Peacep. 195
Peace and Exclusionary Behavior?p. 196
International Troops and "Frozen" Conflictsp. 202
Notesp. 209
Implications for Theory and Practice
Conclusions for Theory: Legitimacy-Focused Peacebuildingp. 213
The Main Findings of the Bookp. 213
Rethinking the Aims and Approaches of Peacebuildingp. 218
Addressing Limitationsp. 230
Notesp. 235
Conclusions for Policy and Practice: Can External Actors Build Legitimacy after War?p. 236
Why Legitimacy Building Is Exceptionally Difficultp. 237
Beyond Blanket Inclusionary Formulas: Four "Moments" for Key Choices and External Strategyp. 245
Conclusionp. 273
Notesp. 275
Referencesp. 277
Indexp. 303
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ISBN: 9781589018945
ISBN-10: 158901894X
Audience: Professional
Format: Paperback
Language: English
Number Of Pages: 288
Published: 15th April 2012
Publisher: Georgetown University Press
Dimensions (cm): 22.9 x 15.2  x 2.1
Weight (kg): 0.513