In this classic work, John Steinbruner argues that the time is ripe for exploration of a new theoretical perspective on the decision-making process in government. He suggests that the cybernetic theory of decision as developed in such diverse fields as information theory, mathematical logic, and behavioral psychology generates a systematic but non-rational analysis that seems to explain quite naturally decisions that are puzzling when viewed from the rational perspective. When combined with the basic understanding of human mental operations developed in cognitive psychology, the cybernetic theory of decision presents a striking picture of how decision makers deal with the intense uncertainty and fundamental value conflicts that arise in bureaucratic politics. To illustrate the advantages of using cybernetic theory, Steinbruner analyzes the issue of sharing nuclear weapons among the NATO allies.
A stimulating and challenging work, almost two books in one, which applies cybernetics and psychology to the politics of the multilateral nuclear force and the nuclear sharing issue in the period of 1956-1964. Steinbruner's important and creative study successfully adds a new dimension to our understanding of decision-making. Foreign Affairs Likely to prove one of those few path-breaking efforts of conceptual synthesis which will be influencing our thinking about government and policy-making for many years to come. -- I. M. Destler Arms Control Today
| List of Figures | p. ix |
| Preface to the Second Paperback Edition | p. xi |
| Preface | p. xxi |
| Introduction | p. 3 |
| Paradigms of the Decision Process | |
| The Analytic Paradigm | p. 25 |
| The Cybernetic Paradigm | p. 47 |
| Cognitive Processes | p. 88 |
| Politics and Policy | p. 140 |
| The Politics of Nuclear Sharing 1956-1964 | |
| Strains in the Alliance: Genesis of a Two-Value Problem | p. 153 |
| The Development of Nuclear Sharing Proposals: 1956-1960 | p. 173 |
| The Rise of the Multilateral Force: 1961-1963 | p. 199 |
| Asendancy and Sudden Death of the Multilateral Force: 1963-1964 | p. 327 |
| Epilogue: Conclusions and Implications | p. 327 |
| Bibliography | p. 343 |
| Index | p. 361 |
| Table of Contents provided by Publisher. All Rights Reserved. |
ISBN: 9780691094878
ISBN-10: 069109487X
Audience:
Tertiary; University or College
Format:
Paperback
Language:
English
Number Of Pages: 392
Published: 1st August 2002
Dimensions (cm): 23.1 x 16.1
x 2.384
Weight (kg): 0.56