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Moods and Markets

A New Way to Invest in Good Times and in Bad

Hardcover

Published: 7th January 2013
Ships: 5 to 9 business days
RRP $34.99
$28.95
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OFF

Peter Atwater has used his exclusive 'Horizon Preference' approach to help top asset managers, major endowments, and hedge funds map changes in social moods to shifts in the markets and to identify huge new market opportunities. Now, he shows serious investors how to use the same powerful techniques these top global investors already rely on.

Building on insights from Elliott Wave Theory and Robert Prechter's work in socionomics, Moods and Markets shows how we naturally narrow our physical, time, and relationship horizons to the 'local' in bad times and widen them to the 'global' in better times. Atwater's easy-to-understand framework helps investors quickly identify the direction of social mood and the markets using readily available, but frequently overlooked, clues from the world around us. To Atwater there is no coincidence to the Occupy Wall Street movement, The Hunger Games, Downton Abbey, farm-to-table dining, and the rise of Facebook with our volatile stock markets today. Moods and Markets explains why.

Through numerous recent real-life examples, readers will gain deeper insights into short-and long-term investment trends in virtually every key market sector. Along the way, Atwater helps you to identify the consistent mood-based characteristics of market turning points that don't show up in conventional analysis - and that can disastrously impact your portfolio if you miss them.

Moods and Markets Explains:

  • The difference between mood and emotion-and why mood matters more
  • How to use mood to identify significant market tops and bottoms
  • How changing moods drive public sector decisions that impact your portfolio
  • Today's market mood and where we may be headed - and how to decide for yourself

Forewordp. xix
Introductionp. 1
Understanding Social Moodp. 11
Mood Definedp. 12
Mood Versus Emotionp. 14
Confidence and Our Perceptions of Certaintyp. 15
The Continuum of Social Moodp. 20
Individual Versus Social Moodp. 24
Measuring Moodp. 25
Social Mood and the Mediap. 28
Mood Groupsp. 31
Final Thoughtsp. 32
Horizon Preference: How Mood Affects Our Decision Makingp. 33
The Horizon Preference Continuump. 35
Logical Decision Making in Periods of Rising Social Moodp. 39
Logical Decision Making in Periods of Falling Social Moodp. 45
Opportunities During Declining Social Moodp. 50
Final Thoughtsp. 52
Market Peaks and All the Red Flags
They Wavep. 55
The Concept Stock Bubblep. 56
Big Truthsp. 58
Abdication of Risk Managementp. 59
Organizational Complexityp. 61
Novice and Naïve Entrantsp. 62
Credit, Architecture, and Other Signs of the Topp. 63
Why Investment Peaks Are Differentp. 68
After the Peakp. 70
Final Thoughtsp. 71
A Social Mood Journey Back Through the Housing Bubblep. 73
Modern Housing Financep. 75
A Big Truthp. 78
Abdication of Risk Managementp. 78
Organizational Complexityp. 80
Novice and Naïve Entrantsp. 82
Excessive Credit and Architecturep. 83
Final Thoughtsp. 84
Is Higher Education a Bubble?p. 85
A Big Truthp. 85
Abdication of Risk Managementp. 88
Organizational Complexityp. 91
Naïve and Novice Participantsp. 91
Excessive Creditp. 92
Architecturep. 93
Final Thoughtsp. 95
Signs of a Bottom in Social Moodp. 99
Extreme "Me, Here, Now" Behaviorsp. 100
Hoarding Behaviorsp. 101
Acts of Sacrificep. 104
Event Versus Cycle Lowsp. 108
The Market Low of 2002p. 109
The Market Low of March 2009p. 110
The Market Bottom of 1932p. 112
Seeing Major Market Bottoms in Real Timep. 113
Social Mood and Inventionp. 115
Final Thoughtsp. 120
Cooking the Books: Corporate Earnings and Social Moodp. 121
Mood-Driven Accounting Principlesp. 122
Mood-Driven Management Judgmentsp. 125
Mood-Driven "One Time" Chargesp. 130
Final Thoughtsp. 133
Social Mood and the Markets Today: So Where Are We?p. 135
Modern Day Extremes in Social Moodp. 139
Communication and Transporation Innovations and Peaks in Social Moodp. 141
2000 to 2012: Deteriorating Moodp. 142
Plotting Social Moodp. 145
A Long-Term Perspective on Social Mood and Stock Multiplesp. 148
Social Mood and the Evolution of Major Corporationsp. 150
Peak Social Mood and Sovereign Debtp. 154
Final Thoughtsp. 156
Using Horizon Preference No Matter Your Long-Term viewp. 159
Your Long-Term Viewp. 159
Final Thoughtsp. 166
Final Thoughtsp. 169
Bibliographyp. 171
Indexp. 175
Table of Contents provided by Ingram. All Rights Reserved.

ISBN: 9780132947213
ISBN-10: 0132947218
Series: Minyanville Media
Audience: General
Format: Hardcover
Language: English
Number Of Pages: 208
Published: 7th January 2013
Dimensions (cm): 22.9 x 15.2  x 1.8
Weight (kg): 0.328